MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19? | PredictPedia

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Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?

Name: MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?
End: 2026-01-20T05:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$14.32K

Events

Markets

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MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $14.32K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $14.32K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?	Poly	38%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

38%

Top Probability

$14.32K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroSt

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 20, 2026 (4 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on announcements made within the market's designated time frame regardless of when the actual purchases were made.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from MicroSt

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if MicroStrategy announces a purchase of more Bitcoin than the number specified in the title between the dates in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last date). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve b"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $14.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $2.3K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 6.24)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 20, 2026): Vol $14.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

3d 15h remaining

Jan 20, 2026 5:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

38¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?

MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?

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MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase January 13-19?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)