Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICrypto

BTC price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Total Volume

$65.38K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

BTC price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Vol

$65.38K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $65.38K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $65.38K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

80 markets tracked

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,750 or above)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(80)

Market	Platform	Price
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,750 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,500 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,250 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,000 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,750 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,500 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,250 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,000 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($77,750 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($77,500 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($77,250 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($77,000 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($74,000 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($73,750 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($73,500 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($73,250 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($73,000 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($72,750 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($72,500 or above)	Kalshi	100%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($80,000 or above)	Kalshi	99%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($76,750 or above)	Kalshi	99%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($76,500 or above)	Kalshi	99%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($76,250 or above)	Kalshi	99%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($76,000 or above)	Kalshi	99%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($75,750 or above)	Kalshi	99%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($75,500 or above)	Kalshi	99%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($75,250 or above)	Kalshi	99%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($75,000 or above)	Kalshi	99%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($74,750 or above)	Kalshi	99%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($74,500 or above)	Kalshi	99%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($74,250 or above)	Kalshi	99%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($80,250 or above)	Kalshi	99%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($80,750 or above)	Kalshi	98%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($81,000 or above)	Kalshi	98%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($80,500 or above)	Kalshi	98%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($81,250 or above)	Kalshi	96%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($81,500 or above)	Kalshi	94%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($81,750 or above)	Kalshi	92%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($82,000 or above)	Kalshi	88%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($82,250 or above)	Kalshi	83%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($82,500 or above)	Kalshi	80%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($82,750 or above)	Kalshi	73%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($83,000 or above)	Kalshi	64%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($83,250 or above)	Kalshi	55%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($83,500 or above)	Kalshi	49%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($83,750 or above)	Kalshi	38%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($84,000 or above)	Kalshi	30%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($84,250 or above)	Kalshi	24%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($84,500 or above)	Kalshi	18%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($84,750 or above)	Kalshi	13%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($85,000 or above)	Kalshi	10%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($85,250 or above)	Kalshi	7%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($85,500 or above)	Kalshi	5%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($85,750 or above)	Kalshi	4%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($86,500 or above)	Kalshi	2%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($86,000 or above)	Kalshi	2%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($86,250 or above)	Kalshi	2%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($86,750 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($92,250 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($92,000 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($91,750 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($91,500 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($91,250 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($91,000 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($90,750 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($90,500 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($90,250 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($90,000 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($89,750 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($89,500 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($89,250 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($89,000 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($88,750 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($88,500 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($88,250 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($88,000 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($87,750 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($87,500 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($87,250 or above)	Kalshi	1%
Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($87,000 or above)	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$65.38K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index, BRTI, before 5 PM EDT is above X at 5 PM EDT on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index, RTI. At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collect

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** BTC price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index, BRTI, before 5 PM EDT is above X at 5 PM EDT on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase may help guide your decision, the price used to determine this market is based on CF Benchmarks' corresponding Real Time Index, RTI. At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collect

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 92249.99 at 5 PM EDT on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $65.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($92,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($92,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($91,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($91,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($91,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($91,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($90,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($90,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($90,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($90,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($89,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($89,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($89,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($89,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($88,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($88,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($88,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($88,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($87,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($87,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($87,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($87,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($86,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($86,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($86,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($86,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($85,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $68
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($85,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($85,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $503
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($85,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($84,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $641
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 32. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($84,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $929
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($84,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $5.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($84,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($83,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $8.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($83,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $10.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 37. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($83,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 54.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 45.5% (0.0%)]

### 38. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($83,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $9.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 39. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($82,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $631
  DATA: [Yes: 72.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 27.5% (0.0%)]

### 40. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($82,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 41. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($82,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 42. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($82,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $408
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 43. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($81,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.5% (0.0%)]

### 44. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($81,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 45. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($81,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $610
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 46. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($81,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $664
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 47. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($80,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 48. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($80,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 49. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($80,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 50. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($80,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 51. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 52. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 53. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 54. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 55. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 56. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 57. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 58. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 59. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($77,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 60. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($77,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 61. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($77,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 62. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($77,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 63. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($76,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 64. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($76,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 65. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($76,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 66. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($76,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 67. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($75,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 68. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($75,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 69. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($75,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 70. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($75,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 71. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($74,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 72. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($74,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 73. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($74,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 74. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($74,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 75. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($73,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 76. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($73,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 77. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($73,250 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 78. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($73,000 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 79. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($72,750 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 80. Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($72,500 or above)
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHICrypto

BTC price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume$65.38K

Markets80

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KALSHI

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,750 or above)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHICrypto

CLOSING SOON

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,750 or above)

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 79749.99 at 5 PM EDT on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase

KALSHI

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,500 or above)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHICrypto

CLOSING SOON

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,500 or above)

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 79499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase

KALSHI

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,250 or above)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHICrypto

CLOSING SOON

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,250 or above)

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 79249.99 at 5 PM EDT on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase

KALSHI

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,000 or above)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHICrypto

CLOSING SOON

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,000 or above)

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 78999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase

KALSHI

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,750 or above)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHICrypto

CLOSING SOON

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,750 or above)

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 78749.99 at 5 PM EDT on Oct 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Not all cryptocurrency price data is the same. While checking a source like Google or Coinbase

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BTC price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

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Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,750 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,750 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,500 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,500 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,250 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,250 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,000 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,000 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,750 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,750 or above)

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Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,750 or above)

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BTC price on Oct 12, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,750 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,750 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,500 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,500 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,250 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,250 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,000 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($79,000 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,750 or above)

Bitcoin price on Oct 12, 2026? ($78,750 or above)

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