Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETClimate

Lowest temperature in Dallas on October 15?

Name: Lowest temperature in Dallas on October 15?
End: 2026-10-15T12:00:00.000Z

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Lowest temperature in Dallas on October 15?

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0.0%avg

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

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11 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 63°F or below on October 15?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 63°F or below on October 15?	Poly	50%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 15?	Poly	39%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on October 15?	Poly	34%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 15?	Poly	34%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 15?	Poly	34%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 15?	Poly	34%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 15?	Poly	34%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 15?	Poly	33%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 15?	Poly	32%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 15?	Poly	1%
Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on October 15?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

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50%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Lowest temperature in Dallas on October 15?
**Category:** Climate | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 15, 2026 (3 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Oct '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal

This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.

If NOAA data

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Oct '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 63°F or below on October 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on October 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on October 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on October 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on October 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on October 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on October 15?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETClimate