Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel)

Total Volume

$251.99

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OpenAI share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel)

Vol

$251.99

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $251.99

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $251.99

100%

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9 markets tracked

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 17.1%

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 17.1%	Kalshi	64%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 16.3%	Kalshi	60%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.7%	Kalshi	59%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.3%	Kalshi	49%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.5%	Kalshi	42%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 22.2%	Kalshi	37%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 22.5%	Kalshi	20%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 23.8%	Kalshi	15%
OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 26.1%	Kalshi	8%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

64%

Top Probability

$251.99

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Oct 12, 2026 If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 12, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names a

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** OpenAI share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel)
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Oct 12, 2026

If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Oct 12, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names a

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 26.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kal"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $252
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 26.1%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 23.8%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 22.5%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 22.2%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.5%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 42.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 58.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.7%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $250
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.3%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 17.1%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 64.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 16.3%
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel)

Volume$251.99

Markets9

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KALSHI

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 17.1%

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.0¢No 36.0¢

KALSHITech

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 17.1%

If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 17.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kal

KALSHI

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 16.3%

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 60.0¢No 40.0¢

KALSHITech

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 16.3%

If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 16.3%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kal

KALSHI

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.7%

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢

KALSHITech

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.7%

If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 18.7%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kal

KALSHI

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.3%

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

KALSHITech

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.3%

If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 18.3%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kal

KALSHI

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.5%

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 42.0¢No 58.0¢

KALSHITech

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.5%

If the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs for Oct 12, 2026 is above 20.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs, rounded to one decimal. At 10:00 AM ET on Oct 13, 2026, Kal

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39¢

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OpenAI share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel)

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel)

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OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 17.1%

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Events (1)

OpenAI share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel)

Markets (9)

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 17.1%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 17.1%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 16.3%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 16.3%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.7%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.7%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.3%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.3%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.5%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.5%

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OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 17.1%

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OpenAI share of spend on Oct 12, 2026 (Vercel)

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 17.1%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 17.1%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 16.3%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 16.3%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.7%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.7%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.3%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 18.3%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.5%

OpenAI Vercel share of AI Gateway spend across the top labs above 20.5%

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