Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Name: Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
End: 2026-11-03T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$16.98K

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Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

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Polymarket

markets · $16.98K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $16.98K

100%

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1 market tracked

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

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Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$16.98K

Volume

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About This Event

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if, as a result of the midterm elections, the Republican Party controls the U.S. presidency, controls the U.S. House of Representatives, and holds at least 60 seats in the U.S. Senate. This market will resolve based on the results of all Congress elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such e

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 3, 2026 (291 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, as a result of the midterm elections, the Republican Party controls the U.S. presidency, controls the U.S. House of Representatives, and holds at least 60 seats in the U.S. Senate.

This market will resolve based on the results of all Congress elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such e

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, as a result of the midterm elections, the Republican Party controls the U.S. presidency, controls the U.S. House of Representatives, and holds at least 60 seats in the U.S. Senate.

This m"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $17.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $6.8K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.49)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $17.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

290d 12h remaining

Nov 03, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

4¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Y_QADv" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?"></iframe>

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Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

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Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)