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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
More markets for the FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for March 31 at 3:00 PM ET.
Traders on prediction markets currently believe there is a strong chance both Morocco and Paraguay will score in their upcoming friendly match. The market gives this outcome about a 3 in 4 probability. This is a fairly confident forecast, suggesting a high-scoring or at least evenly-matched offensive game is the expected result.
Two main factors are likely driving this prediction. First, international friendlies often feature more open, attacking play as coaches experiment with tactics and lineups, which can lead to defensive mistakes and goals for both sides. Second, the specific teams involved support this idea. Morocco, a 2022 World Cup semifinalist, possesses dangerous attackers like Hakim Ziyech. Paraguay, while sometimes defensively organized, has shown it can score, netting goals in recent matches against stronger South American opponents. The combination of the match's informal nature and the attacking quality on the pitch makes a scenario where both teams find the net seem probable to traders.
The main event is the match itself, scheduled for March 31 at 3:00 PM ET. Any last-minute news about key player absences or tactical announcements from either manager in the 24 hours before kickoff could shift the odds. If either team announces they will rest their primary goal scorers or field an unusually defensive lineup, the probability of both teams scoring would likely drop.
Prediction markets are generally reliable for forecasting straightforward, short-term outcomes like this. However, "Both Teams to Score" in a soccer match has inherent volatility. A single missed chance, a stellar goalkeeping performance, or an early red card can easily swing the result. While the collective wisdom often identifies the more likely scenario, the high probability here reflects the odds of an event that is still far from certain. Friendly matches can be particularly unpredictable in their flow.
The prediction market for the Morocco vs. Paraguay international friendly shows a clear consensus on one specific outcome. The "Both Teams to Score" market on Polymarket is trading at 74 cents, implying a 74% probability. This high probability indicates the market strongly expects goals from both sides. However, with only $0 in volume reported across nine related markets, this price reflects extremely thin liquidity. The market is essentially a speculative forecast with no real money currently at stake to validate the odds.
The 74% price for both teams scoring is likely driven by the nature of international friendlies and recent team patterns. These matches often prioritize tactical experimentation and player fitness over defensive solidity, leading to more open play. Morocco, a strong World Cup 2022 semifinalist, possesses significant attacking talent but has shown defensive vulnerability in recent fixtures. Paraguay, while less consistent, has scored in four of its last five matches. The market is pricing in a scenario where both teams find the net in a non-competitive fixture with little at stake, a common pattern in such exhibitions.
The current odds are highly sensitive due to the lack of trading volume. Any official team news regarding lineup selections or tactical approaches released before the March 31 kickoff could cause sharp, hypothetical price swings. A confirmation that either side will field a heavily rotated squad or employ a defensive setup would challenge the high-probability forecast for goals. Conversely, news of key attacking players being featured would reinforce it. Without real liquidity, this market acts more as a sentiment indicator than a robust price discovery mechanism.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic focuses on secondary betting markets for an international friendly soccer match between the national teams of Morocco and Paraguay, scheduled for March 31 at 3:00 PM Eastern Time. International friendlies are exhibition matches organized by FIFA outside of official tournament cycles, primarily used for team preparation, tactical experimentation, and player evaluation. This specific match is part of the March 2025 FIFA International Match Window, a designated period when clubs are obligated to release players for national team duty. The 'More Markets' designation refers to proposition bets beyond the standard win-draw-win outcome, which could include markets like total goals, exact score, first goalscorer, halftime/fulltime result, or player-specific performances. Interest in this match stems from both teams' recent trajectories on the global stage. Morocco achieved a historic fourth-place finish at the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar, becoming the first African nation to reach the semifinals. This success has elevated their global profile and raised expectations. Paraguay, while not qualifying for the 2022 World Cup, is a consistent competitor in South America's CONMEBOL region, known for a resilient defensive style. The match offers a rare intercontinental clash between teams from the Confederation of African Football (CAF) and CONMEBOL, providing a unique tactical matchup. Prediction markets and sportsbooks create these additional markets to cater to bettors seeking more nuanced wagering opportunities. The activity in these markets can serve as a collective intelligence tool, aggregating dispersed information to reflect probabilistic assessments of specific match events. For analysts and fans, the odds movement in these markets can indicate where informed money is flowing, potentially revealing insights about team news, expected tactics, or player conditions not yet public. The match also holds significance for both teams' managers as they finalize preparations for upcoming competitive tournaments, including qualifiers for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
Morocco and Paraguay have only met once before in an official senior international match. That encounter was a friendly on August 14, 2013, in Tangier, Morocco, which ended in a 3-2 victory for the Moroccan side. The historical context is therefore limited, placing greater emphasis on each team's broader competitive record and style. Paraguay's football history is defined by defensive resilience. They reached the quarterfinals of the 2010 FIFA World Cup, losing 1-0 to eventual champions Spain, and were runners-up in the 2011 Copa América. Their historical identity, under managers like Gerardo Martino, has been built on a compact 4-4-2 or 4-3-3 shape that is difficult to penetrate. Morocco's football history underwent a seismic shift in 2022. Prior to that World Cup, their best performance was a Round of 16 appearance in 1986. The 2022 campaign, which included wins over Belgium, Spain, and Portugal, fundamentally altered their global standing and self-perception. The broader context of intercontinental friendlies between CAF and CONMEBOL nations shows they are relatively infrequent but highly valued for tactical diversity. South American teams often use these matches to prepare for the physical and athletic challenges they face in World Cups, while African teams test themselves against the technical and structured opponents common in later tournament stages. The single previous match result offers little predictive power for 2025, given the complete overhaul of both squads and coaching staffs over the past decade.
For the footballing federations, this match matters as a critical evaluation tool. With 2026 World Cup qualification campaigns ongoing, managers use friendlies to integrate new players, test tactical variations, and build squad cohesion without the pressure of competitive points. A strong performance can boost FIFA ranking points, which can affect future tournament seedings. For players, it is an audition for a spot in the squad for major tournaments, influencing their international careers. Economically, the match generates revenue for both federations through broadcasting rights and sponsorship. For the sports betting industry, international friendlies represent a significant volume of wagering activity. The creation of 'More Markets' drives engagement and handle, as bettors find value in specific propositions beyond the match winner. The data generated from betting patterns on these markets is also analyzed by clubs and agencies to understand public and professional perception of player and team performance metrics.
As of late March 2025, both teams have announced their preliminary squads for the FIFA match window. Morocco's squad includes their core World Cup stars like Hakimi, Bounou, and Sofyan Amrabat, alongside emerging talents from European leagues. Paraguay's squad features mainstays like Almirón and defender Fabián Balbuena, blended with younger players like Enciso. The final match venue was confirmed as the Grand Stade de Tanger in Morocco, a venue known for its vibrant atmosphere that strongly favors the home team. Injury reports are being monitored closely by bookmakers, with any last-minute withdrawals likely to cause immediate adjustments in the 'More Markets' odds, particularly for player-specific propositions.
The match is scheduled to be played at the Grand Stade de Tanger in Tangier, Morocco. This stadium, with a capacity of approximately 65,000, is a regular venue for the Moroccan national team and provides a significant home-field advantage.
The match is scheduled for 3:00 PM Eastern Time (ET) on March 31, 2025. This corresponds to 8:00 PM in Morocco (WEST), 4:00 PM in Paraguay (PYT), and 7:00 PM UTC. Viewers should check local listings for broadcast times.
Common proposition markets include Total Goals Over/Under (e.g., 2.5 goals), Both Teams to Score, Correct Score, First Goalscorer, Anytime Goalscorer, Half-Time/Full-Time Result, and player-specific bets like shots on target or assists. These offer more specific wagering opportunities than simply picking the match winner.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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| Market | Platform | Price |
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| Poly | 72% |
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