Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Besta deild karla (Iceland): Teams relegated (2026)

Name: Besta deild karla (Iceland): Teams relegated (2026)
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$10.70K

Events

Markets

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Besta deild karla (Iceland): Teams relegated (2026)

Vol

$10.70K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $10.70K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $10.70K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

12 markets tracked

Will ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(12)

Market	Platform	Price
Will ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Poly	97%
Will Þór Akureyri be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Poly	67%
Will KA Akureyri be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Poly	29%
Will Víkingur Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Poly	23%
Will Stjarnan be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Poly	3%
Will FH Hafnarfjörður be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Poly	1%
Will Breiðablik be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Poly	1%
Will KR Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Poly	1%
Will Fram Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Poly	1%
Will Keflavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Poly	1%
Will ÍA Akranes be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Poly	1%
Will Valur Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$10.70K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Besta deild karla (Iceland) at the conclusion of the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Besta deild karla (Iceland) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Besta deild karla (

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Besta deild karla (Iceland): Teams relegated (2026)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Besta deild karla (Iceland) at the conclusion of the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Besta deild karla (Iceland) for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland), via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Besta deild karla (

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Besta deild karla (Iceland) at the conclusion of the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland) season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Besta deild karla (Iceland) "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $10.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.6K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 2.99)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Víkingur Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $36
  DATA: [Yes: 22.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will KR Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $458
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Fram Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $291
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Breiðablik be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $112
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Valur Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $766
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Keflavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.2% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will ÍA Akranes be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $328
  DATA: [Yes: 0.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.3% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.9% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Stjarnan be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $394
  DATA: [Yes: 3.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will KA Akureyri be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will FH Hafnarfjörður be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Þór Akureyri be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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