AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Springfield Thunderbirds | PredictPedia

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AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Springfield Thunderbirds

Name: AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Springfield Thunderbirds
End: 2026-01-19T20:05:00.000Z

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AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Springfield Thunderbirds

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AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Springfield Thunderbirds

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Market	Platform	Price
AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Springfield Thunderbirds	Poly	50%

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About This Event

In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for January 19 at 3:05PM ET: If Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins". If Springfield Thunderbirds win, the market will resolve to "Springfield Thunderbirds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Springfield Thunderbirds
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 19, 2026 (4 days left)
**Time Pressure:** High

**Description:** In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for January 19 at 3:05PM ET:
If Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins".
If Springfield Thunderbirds win, the market will resolve to "Springfield Thunderbirds".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-01-19:
If Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins".
If Springfield Thunderbirds win, the market will resolve to "Springfield Thunderbirds".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $42
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Springfield Thunderbirds
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 19, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [Springfield Thunderbirds: 50.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Overview

This prediction market topic concerns the outcome of an American Hockey League regular season game between the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins and the Springfield Thunderbirds, scheduled for January 19. The AHL serves as the primary developmental league for the National Hockey League, making these games crucial for player development and organizational evaluation. The market resolves based on the official game winner, with specific provisions for postponements or cancellations. The Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins are the AHL affiliate of the NHL's Pittsburgh Penguins, while the Springfield Thunderbirds are affiliated with the St. Louis Blues. This matchup represents a clash between two teams with distinct organizational philosophies and developmental pipelines. Interest in this market stems from hockey enthusiasts, sports bettors, and fans tracking prospect development, as AHL games often feature future NHL stars and provide insight into organizational depth. The specific timing and resolution rules make this a structured prediction event with clear parameters.

Historical Context

The Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins were established in 1999 as the primary AHL affiliate of the Pittsburgh Penguins. They have qualified for the Calder Cup playoffs 17 times in their 24-season history, winning the Eastern Conference championship in 2001, 2004, and 2008. The franchise has developed numerous NHL players including goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury and defenseman Kris Letang. The Springfield Thunderbirds were founded in 2016 after the Springfield Falcons relocated and rebranded. They quickly established themselves as a competitive franchise, reaching the Calder Cup Finals in 2022 before losing to the Chicago Wolves. The two teams first met during the 2016-2017 season, with the Penguins holding a slight historical advantage in their head-to-head matchups. Their games often feature physical play and special teams battles, reflecting the intensity of Atlantic Division competition. The geographical separation between Pennsylvania and Massachusetts adds a regional rivalry element to their meetings.

Why It Matters

This game matters significantly for both organizations' developmental pipelines and playoff positioning. For the Pittsburgh Penguins organization, Wilkes-Barre/Scranton's performance directly impacts prospect readiness for NHL call-ups, affecting the parent club's roster flexibility and long-term planning. Similarly, Springfield's results influence St. Louis Blues' organizational depth and emergency recall options. Economically, AHL games generate revenue for local arenas, support staff employment, and regional broadcasting. For the cities of Wilkes-Barre/Scranton and Springfield, successful teams boost local pride and community engagement. The outcome affects standings in the competitive Atlantic Division, where playoff berths are often decided by narrow margins. Player performances in these games can lead to NHL promotions, contract extensions, or trades, making each contest meaningful for individual careers and organizational trajectories.

Current Status

Both teams enter this game in the middle of the 2023-2024 AHL regular season, competing for playoff positioning in the Atlantic Division. The Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins recently added several players from the Pittsburgh Penguins organization following NHL roster moves. The Springfield Thunderbirds are coming off a weekend series split and have maintained consistency in their lineup. Recent injuries and call-ups have affected both teams' rosters, requiring adjustments from coaching staffs. The January 19 game represents an important divisional matchup with potential standings implications. Weather conditions and travel logistics have been normal, with no expected disruptions to the scheduled game time.

Frequently Asked Questions

What time is the Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs Springfield Thunderbirds game?

The game is scheduled for January 19 at 3:05 PM Eastern Time. It will be played at the MassMutual Center in Springfield, Massachusetts.

Where can I watch the AHL game between Penguins and Thunderbirds?

The game may be available on AHLTV, the league's streaming service, and local regional sports networks. Check team websites for specific broadcast information in your area.

Who are the NHL affiliates for these AHL teams?

The Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins are affiliated with the Pittsburgh Penguins. The Springfield Thunderbirds are affiliated with the St. Louis Blues.

What happens if the AHL game is postponed?

If postponed, the prediction market remains open until the game is completed. The market resolves based on the final result of the rescheduled game.

How do I find AHL standings and statistics?

Official AHL standings, statistics, and schedules are available on the league's website at theahl.com. The site provides real-time updates and historical data.

What is the capacity of the MassMutual Center?

The MassMutual Center in Springfield has a hockey capacity of 6,793 seats. It has been the home of the Thunderbirds since their inaugural 2016-2017 season.

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Updated Jan 14, 2026

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

Next Market Closes

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Jan 19, 2026 8:05 PM

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AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Springfield Thunderbirds

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AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Springfield Thunderbirds

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About This Event

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Overview

Historical Context

Why It Matters

Current Status

Frequently Asked Questions

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