Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)

Total Volume

$20.62K

Events

Markets

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Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)

Vol

$20.62K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $20.62K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $20.62K

100%

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9 markets tracked

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $20M in total receipts during Q3?

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Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $20M in total receipts during Q3?	Kalshi	100%
Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $25M in total receipts during Q3?	Kalshi	98%
Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $30M in total receipts during Q3?	Kalshi	77%
Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $35M in total receipts during Q3?	Kalshi	48%
Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $40M in total receipts during Q3?	Kalshi	35%
Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $45M in total receipts during Q3?	Kalshi	23%
Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $50M in total receipts during Q3?	Kalshi	18%
Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $55M in total receipts during Q3?	Kalshi	10%
Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $60M in total receipts during Q3?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$20.62K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Q3 If Jon Ossoff for Senate's total receipts is above X million from July 1 through September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission, FEC. Only the first official or non-preliminary release of the relevant statistic will be used to resolve the market, and subsequent revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Q3

If Jon Ossoff for Senate's total receipts is above X million from July 1 through September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission, FEC. Only the first official or non-preliminary release of the relevant statistic will be used to resolve the market, and subsequent revisions, corrections, or updates will not affect resolution.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Jon Ossoff for Senate's total receipts is above $60 million from July 1 through September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminar"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $20.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $60M in total receipts during Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $55M in total receipts during Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $50M in total receipts during Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $45M in total receipts during Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 23.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $40M in total receipts during Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $35M in total receipts during Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $30M in total receipts during Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 76.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 23.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $25M in total receipts during Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $20M in total receipts during Q3?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 15, 2026): Vol $7.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)

Volume$20.62K

Markets9

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KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $20M in total receipts during Q3?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $20M in total receipts during Q3?

If Jon Ossoff for Senate's total receipts is above $20 million from July 1 through September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminar

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $25M in total receipts during Q3?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.0¢No 2.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $25M in total receipts during Q3?

If Jon Ossoff for Senate's total receipts is above $25 million from July 1 through September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminar

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $30M in total receipts during Q3?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 76.5¢No 23.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $30M in total receipts during Q3?

If Jon Ossoff for Senate's total receipts is above $30 million from July 1 through September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminar

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $35M in total receipts during Q3?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $35M in total receipts during Q3?

If Jon Ossoff for Senate's total receipts is above $35 million from July 1 through September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminar

KALSHI

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $40M in total receipts during Q3?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.0¢No 65.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $40M in total receipts during Q3?

If Jon Ossoff for Senate's total receipts is above $40 million from July 1 through September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on the official filing data released by the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Only the first official or non-preliminar

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46¢

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Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)

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Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $20M in total receipts during Q3?

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Events (1)

Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)

Markets (9)

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $20M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $20M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $25M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $25M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $30M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $30M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $35M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $35M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $40M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $40M in total receipts during Q3?

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Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $20M in total receipts during Q3?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Jon Ossoff for Senate Total Receipts (Q3)

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $20M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $20M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $25M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $25M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $30M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $30M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $35M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $35M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $40M in total receipts during Q3?

Will Jon Ossoff for Senate report more than $40M in total receipts during Q3?

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