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$1.06K
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Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
More markets for the Liga MX game, scheduled for January 16 at 10:00 PM ET.
Prediction markets currently price a CF Monterrey victory at 57%, translating to an implied probability just above a coin flip. This suggests the market views the away side as moderate favorites, but with significant uncertainty priced in. The "Yes" share for a Monterrey win trades around $0.57. The total market volume of approximately $3,000 across related markets indicates relatively thin liquidity, meaning prices could be more volatile to new information or bets.
Two primary factors are shaping this pricing. First, the fundamental quality gap between the clubs is significant. CF Monterrey is a perennial Liga MX powerhouse and consistent title contender with superior squad depth and financial resources. Mazatlán FC, while occasionally resilient at home, has historically struggled against the league's elite and often battles in the lower half of the table. Second, the timing of this match in mid-January places it early in the 2026 Clausura season. This can introduce variability, as teams are still finding their form, but Monterrey's deeper roster is typically better equipped to handle early-season fixtures.
The most immediate catalyst is any last-minute team news regarding player availability, such as injuries to key Monterrey attackers. Mazatlán's primary path to an upset relies on maximizing their home-field advantage at Estadio de Mazatlán, where crowd support can elevate their performance. A tactical approach focused on defensive solidity and set pieces could level the playing field. Given the low trading volume, a relatively small influx of capital betting on a Mazatlán upset or draw could shift the odds noticeably before kickoff on January 16.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
This prediction market topic focuses on derivative betting markets for the Liga MX Clausura 2024 regular season match between Mazatlán FC and CF Monterrey, scheduled for January 16, 2025, at 10:00 PM Eastern Time. Unlike standard match outcome markets, 'More Markets' encompasses a wide array of proposition bets and statistical wagers that allow participants to predict specific events within the game. These can include, but are not limited to, the exact score, the number of goals, which team scores first, whether both teams will score, individual player performance metrics like shots on target or assists, and the timing of goals. The match will be played at the Estadio de Mazatlán in Sinaloa, Mexico, and represents a classic Liga MX clash between a historically ambitious, well-funded club and a newer franchise seeking to establish itself. Interest in these markets stems from the growing sophistication of sports betting, where fans and analysts use deep statistical knowledge to predict granular in-game events, moving beyond simple win/lose/draw predictions. The timing in mid-January places it early in the Clausura tournament, where initial form and squad integration are key narrative drivers for bettors.
The historical context of this fixture is defined by CF Monterrey's institutional dominance and Mazatlán FC's recent entry into the league. Founded in 1945, Monterrey is one of Mexico's most successful clubs, with five Liga MX titles and multiple CONCACAF Champions League victories. Mazatlán FC, in contrast, was founded in 2020 after relocating the franchise from Morelia, representing a new era for professional soccer in Sinaloa. The head-to-head record heavily favors Monterrey. Since Mazatlán's inception, the teams have met eight times in Liga MX play through the end of the 2024 Apertura. Monterrey has won five of those encounters, with two draws and only one victory for Mazatlán, a 2-1 home win in July 2021. Notably, matches at the Estadio de Mazatlán have been more competitive, with two of the three meetings there ending in draws. The most recent clash prior to this fixture was on October 2, 2024, in the Apertura, where Monterrey secured a 2-0 victory at home. This historical imbalance informs prediction markets, creating odds where Monterrey is typically a strong favorite, but also highlighting potential value in markets focusing on Mazatlán's home performance or specific game events where the gap may narrow.
Beyond the immediate sporting contest, the 'More Markets' for this Liga MX fixture reflect the significant economic and cultural impact of sports betting in Mexico and internationally. The regulated sports betting industry in Mexico has seen substantial growth, with matches like these driving engagement, advertising revenue, and platform usage. For the clubs and the league, heightened interest in granular markets increases fan engagement and media value, as viewers have financial stakes in specific in-game occurrences. This dynamic also influences how the game is consumed and analyzed, with a greater focus on individual player statistics and micro-events rather than just the final score. For the local economy in Mazatlán, a high-profile home match against a giant like Monterrey boosts tourism, hospitality, and merchandise sales. The performance of Mazatlán FC, as a relatively new franchise, also matters for the long-term development of soccer in the Sinaloa region, affecting community support and investment in youth academies.
As of early January 2025, both teams are preparing for the start of the Liga MX Clausura 2024 season. This match is part of the opening round of fixtures. CF Monterrey concluded the 2024 Apertura as runners-up, losing the final to Club América, and will be highly motivated to start the new campaign strongly. Mazatlán FC finished 15th in the same tournament and has been active in the transfer market during the offseason, aiming to improve squad depth. The latest developments include both teams conducting preseason training camps. Key player fitness reports, particularly for Monterrey's star attackers and Mazatlán's new signings, will be closely monitored in the days leading up to the match, as these updates can cause significant movement in player-specific prop markets.
The match kicks off at 10:00 PM Eastern Time (ET) on January 16, 2025. This corresponds to 9:00 PM Central Time (CT), 8:00 PM Mountain Time (MT), and 7:00 PM Pacific Time (PT). In Mexico City, it is 9:00 PM local time.
In the United States, the match will be broadcast on TelevisaUnivision's TUDN and ViX+ streaming platforms. In Mexico, it will be available on TUDN and Canal 5. Various international sports streaming services also carry Liga MX broadcasts.
Form is assessed from the previous 2024 Apertura. CF Monterrey finished second in the league table and reached the final, demonstrating excellent form. Mazatlán FC finished 15th out of 18 teams, winning only 4 of their 17 matches, indicating poor recent form.
Common markets include Total Goals Over/Under (e.g., Over 2.5), Both Teams to Score (Yes/No), Correct Score, First Goalscorer, Anytime Goalscorer, Total Corners, Total Cards, and Player-Specific props like shots on target or assists.
The Estadio de Mazatlán, also known as El Kraken, has a seating capacity of approximately 25,000 spectators. It has been the home of Mazatlán FC since the club's founding in 2020.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
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5 markets tracked
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| Market | Platform | Price |
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| Poly | 77% |
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| Poly | 32% |
| Poly | 16% |
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