Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

What price will Ethena hit in October?

Name: What price will Ethena hit in October?
End: 2026-11-01T04:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$850.91

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

What price will Ethena hit in October?

Vol

$850.91

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $850.91

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $850.91

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Ethena reach $0.28 in October?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Ethena reach $0.28 in October?	Poly	52%
Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in October?	Poly	51%
Will Ethena dip to $0.16 in October?	Poly	49%
Will Ethena reach $0.36 in October?	Poly	47%
Will Ethena reach $0.32 in October?	Poly	47%
Will Ethena reach $0.48 in October?	Poly	37%
Will Ethena reach $0.40 in October?	Poly	35%
Will Ethena dip to $0.12 in October?	Poly	31%
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in October?	Poly	30%
Will Ethena reach $0.44 in October?	Poly	12%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

52%

Top Probability

$850.91

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

What price will Ethena hit in October?

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What price will Ethena hit in October?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 1, 2026 (21 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** What price will Ethena hit in October?

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ENA/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market wi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $361
* **Total Liquidity:** $709
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.51)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Ethena reach $0.48 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $56
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Ethena reach $0.44 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $143
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ethena reach $0.40 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $63
  DATA: [Yes: 35.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Ethena reach $0.36 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ethena reach $0.32 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ethena reach $0.28 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ethena dip to $0.16 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Ethena dip to $0.12 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Ethena dip to $0.08 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $99
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in October?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCrypto

What price will Ethena hit in October?

Volume$850.91

Markets10

10 of 10

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Ethena reach $0.28 in October?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will Ethena reach $0.28 in October?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ENA/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market wi

POLYMARKET

Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in October?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in October?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ENA/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to

POLYMARKET

Will Ethena dip to $0.16 in October?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 49.0¢No 51.0¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will Ethena dip to $0.16 in October?

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ENA/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will

POLYMARKET

Will Ethena reach $0.36 in October?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 46.5¢No 53.5¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will Ethena reach $0.36 in October?

POLYMARKET

Will Ethena reach $0.32 in October?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 46.5¢No 53.5¢

POLYMARKETCrypto

Will Ethena reach $0.32 in October?

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Next Market Closes

Calculating time remaining…

Nov 01, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

39¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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What price will Ethena hit in October?

What price will Ethena hit in October?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Ethena reach $0.28 in October?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

What price will Ethena hit in October?

Markets (10)

Will Ethena reach $0.28 in October?

Will Ethena reach $0.28 in October?

Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in October?

Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in October?

Will Ethena dip to $0.16 in October?

Will Ethena dip to $0.16 in October?

Will Ethena reach $0.36 in October?

Will Ethena reach $0.36 in October?

Will Ethena reach $0.32 in October?

Will Ethena reach $0.32 in October?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Ethena reach $0.28 in October?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What price will Ethena hit in October?

Will Ethena reach $0.28 in October?

Will Ethena reach $0.28 in October?

Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in October?

Will Ethena dip to $0.20 in October?

Will Ethena dip to $0.16 in October?

Will Ethena dip to $0.16 in October?

Will Ethena reach $0.36 in October?

Will Ethena reach $0.36 in October?

Will Ethena reach $0.32 in October?

Will Ethena reach $0.32 in October?

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