Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This event page groups sixteen separate Yes/No contracts on the 2026 Peru Liga 1 runner-up position. Each contract asks whether one listed club will be the runner-up. The rules state that the market "will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Peru Liga 1 for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No"" [1]. A club is eliminated from consideration if it becomes impossible for it to finish as runner-up, and in that case its contract resolves to "No" [1].

Wording differences matter. If several teams are declared second-place finishers, the contract resolves in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically [1]. If the event is cancelled, or postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no runner-up is declared in that window, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is a contract closing time, not an announced date for the league's season or any event.

Reading the snapshot

The supplied snapshot was observed at 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z and retrieved at 2026-10-20T08:21:39.145Z [1]. It describes prices at those times only. Each included contract shows a Yes price of 0.495 and a No price of 0.505 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

The sample is partial. For this event, 12 of 16 markets were included [1]. The selection ranks markets by Yes price, then volume, so the omitted four are not shown and should not be assumed to carry lower prices. Because each contract is a separate club-specific question, the shown Yes prices should not be summed or averaged into a single field estimate. Volume is also not included in the supplied excerpt, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity or the number of traders.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the prices are identical or whether they will change. It does not provide news about the league, current standings, or the status of any club beyond the saved provider status "active" [1]. The official resolution source is described as official Peru Liga 1 information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. Readers should check the current contract page and the official league information before drawing conclusions about any club.

References

1. Polymarket: Peru Liga 1: 2026 Runner-Up. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T06:00:05.944Z.