Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Peru Liga 1: Teams relegated (2026)

Name: Peru Liga 1: Teams relegated (2026)
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$15.77K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Peru Liga 1: Teams relegated (2026)

Vol

$15.77K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $15.77K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.77K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will UTC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will UTC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	89%
Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	57%
Will FC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	37%
Will ADT be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	33%
Will Deportivo Garcilaso be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	26%
Will Cusco FC be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	19%
Will Juan Pablo II be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	19%
Will Sport Huancayo be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	19%
Will Sport Boys be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	16%
Will Comerciantes Unidos be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	12%
Will Atlético Grau be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	8%
Will Cienciano be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	6%
Will Alianza Atlético Sullana be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	4%
Will Sporting Cristal be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	3%
Will Los Chankas be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	3%
Will Alianza Lima be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	3%
Will Universitario be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	1%
Will FBC Melgar be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?	Poly	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

89%

Top Probability

$15.77K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Peru Liga 1 at the conclusion of the 2026 Peru Liga 1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Peru Liga 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Peru Liga 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Peru Liga 1. If the 2026 Peru Liga 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Peru Liga 1: Teams relegated (2026)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Peru Liga 1 at the conclusion of the 2026 Peru Liga 1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Peru Liga 1 for the following season through their final standing in the 2026 Peru Liga 1, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Peru Liga 1.

If the 2026 Peru Liga 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Peru Liga 1 at the conclusion of the 2026 Peru Liga 1 season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Peru Liga 1 for the following season through their final sta"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.8K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 8.77)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will UTC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Universitario be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $187
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Alianza Lima be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will FBC Melgar be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Deportivo Garcilaso be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $80
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Los Chankas be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $721
  DATA: [Yes: 3.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Sporting Cristal be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $60
  DATA: [Yes: 3.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Sport Huancayo be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 18.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Comerciantes Unidos be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $44
  DATA: [Yes: 11.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.4% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Sport Boys be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $3.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Alianza Atlético Sullana be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $61
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Cienciano be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $201
  DATA: [Yes: 5.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.4% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Atlético Grau be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $242
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Cusco FC be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will ADT be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $593
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Juan Pablo II be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $243
  DATA: [Yes: 18.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.3% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Deportivo Moquegua be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $2.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 57.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will FC Cajamarca be relegated from the 2026 Peru Liga 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports