Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

CPI core in December 2026

Total Volume

$27.53K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

CPI core in December 2026

Vol

$27.53K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $27.53K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $27.53K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in December?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in December?	Kalshi	94%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in December?	Kalshi	84%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in December?	Kalshi	36%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in December?	Kalshi	14%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.4% in December?	Kalshi	8%
Will CPI Core rise more than 1.0% in December?	Kalshi	2%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.9% in December?	Kalshi	2%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.8% in December?	Kalshi	2%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.7% in December?	Kalshi	2%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.6% in December?	Kalshi	2%
Will CPI Core rise more than 0.5% in December?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$27.53K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

In Dec 2026 If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for December 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above X then the market resolves to Yes. Please note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be exten

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** CPI core in December 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Dec 2026

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for December 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above X then the market resolves to Yes. Please note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be exten

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for December 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Please note that the value of the Underlying is the si"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $27.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will CPI Core rise more than 1.0% in December?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $240
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will CPI Core rise more than 0.9% in December?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $2.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will CPI Core rise more than 0.8% in December?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $829
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will CPI Core rise more than 0.7% in December?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will CPI Core rise more than 0.6% in December?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $3.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will CPI Core rise more than 0.5% in December?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $3.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will CPI Core rise more than 0.4% in December?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in December?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $8.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in December?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $476
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in December?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $27
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in December?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 20, 2027): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

CPI core in December 2026

Volume$27.53K

Markets11

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KALSHI

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in December?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.0¢No 6.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in December?

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for December 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Please note that the value of the Underlying is the si

KALSHI

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in December?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 83.5¢No 16.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in December?

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for December 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Please note that the value of the Underlying is the si

KALSHI

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in December?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.0¢No 64.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in December?

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for December 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Please note that the value of the Underlying is the si

KALSHI

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in December?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 14.0¢No 86.0¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in December?

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for December 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Please note that the value of the Underlying is the si

KALSHI

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.4% in December?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHIEconomics

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.4% in December?

If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for December 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Please note that the value of the Underlying is the si

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22¢

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CPI core in December 2026

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Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in December?

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Events (1)

CPI core in December 2026

Markets (11)

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.4% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.4% in December?

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Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in December?

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CPI core in December 2026

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.0% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.1% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.4% in December?

Will CPI Core rise more than 0.4% in December?

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