GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Total Volume

$0.00

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before Jan 20, 2029)	Kalshi	75%
When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2028)	Kalshi	68%
When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2027)	Kalshi	26%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

75%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Lowered from Schedule I If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan X Y then the market resolves to Yes. If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids, e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule, without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract. Ending the schedule alt

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, July 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will marijuana be rescheduled?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Lowered from Schedule I

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan X Y then the market resolves to Yes. If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids, e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule, without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract. Ending the schedule alt

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular can"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before Jan 20, 2029)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 27, 2029): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2028)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 67.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2027)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Volume$0.00

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.0¢No 25.0¢

KALSHIOther

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular can

KALSHI

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2028)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 67.5¢No 32.5¢

KALSHIOther

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2028)

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cann

KALSHI

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2027)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 25.5¢No 74.5¢

KALSHIOther

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2027)

If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular

No related news found

Discussion

0 Comments

Market Insights

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

Embed Widget

Add this market to your website

Volume

Platforms

HTML

<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Z3mJhm" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will marijuana be rescheduled?"></iframe>

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Markets (0)

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2028)

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2028)

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2027)

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2027)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

Share

Embed Widget

Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before Jan 20, 2029)

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2028)

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2028)

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2027)

When will marijuana be rescheduled? (Before 2027)

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget