ZCash Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZCash price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ZEC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single binary market titled "ZCash Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET" on Polymarket [1]. Its rule states that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the ZCash price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD data stream, and the source notes that the market "is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ZEC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets" [1]. Readers comparing this contract with a ZCash price on another exchange or index should expect different outcomes to be possible, because the rule names a specific data stream.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T04:15:52.188Z. Both times are later than the listed end time of 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z [1]. The snapshot therefore describes an earlier state of the market, not a live one, even though the provider status was recorded as "active" [1].
At observation, the Up outcome was priced at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from a single saved observation. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not explain the status field or any movement in price.
The sample is complete for this event. The coverage record lists one market, with one included and no partial sample [1]. The sample warning states that the saved markets are all included, but this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. Because this is a binary contract with no other outcomes in the sample, no comparison with omitted outcomes is needed.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the ZCash price at either boundary of the time range, so the eventual resolution cannot be determined from this record. It also does not show whether the market has settled, what final price was recorded, or how much trading occurred. The volume and trader activity are not part of this snapshot. A price of 0.5 does not indicate how many participants hold either side or how much liquidity exists. Readers should check the current provider page and the Chainlink stream for any later information, since the evidence here cannot confirm either.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T03:00:06.086Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-term price direction market on ZCash, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - August 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET" [1]. It covers a window in the title, and the market is categorized as Crypto [1]. The listed end time is 2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z [1]. The contract's rule is that it will resolve to "Up" if the ZCash price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The comparison is between the start and end of one window, so the outcome depends on the direction of the price move over that interval rather than on a fixed price level [1]. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream, not according to other sources or spot markets [1]. Anyone reading a price on another exchange or data feed should therefore not assume it determines the outcome. The saved snapshot shows two outcomes, Up and Down, each priced at 0.5 [1]. These are observed values from one provider snapshot. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities [1]. The provider status at observation was active [1], but the listed end time falls well before the observation date, so that status describes the record at the time it was captured rather than trading conditions today.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink ZEC/USD price at the end of the stated 15-minute window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the outcome is fixed to one specific data stream, the rules define what counts as the result and remove ambiguity from other price sources [1]. Traders and readers can use the rules to understand exactly what the price of each outcome is tied to.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes this market resolve to Up?
It resolves to Up if the ZCash price at the end of the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD data stream, and the market concerns that data stream rather than other sources or spot markets [1].
Does a spot exchange price count for this contract?
No. The rules state that the market is about the price according to the Chainlink data stream, not according to other sources or spot markets [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.