Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Guingamp vs Pau

Total Volume

$25.03

Events

Markets

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Guingamp vs Pau

Vol

$25.03

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $25.03

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $25.03

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Guingamp wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Guingamp wins	Kalshi	46%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	27%
Pau wins	Kalshi	27%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

46%

Top Probability

$25.03

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

EAG vs PAU (Oct 16) If X wins the Guingamp vs Pau professional Ligue 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Guingamp vs Pau professional Ligue 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Ye

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Guingamp vs Pau
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** EAG vs PAU (Oct 16)

If X wins the Guingamp vs Pau professional Ligue 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Guingamp vs Pau professional Ligue 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Ye

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Guingamp vs Pau professional Ligue 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Guingamp vs Pau prof"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $25
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $25
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Pau wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Guingamp wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 46.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Guingamp vs Pau

Volume$25.03

Markets3

3 of 3

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KALSHI

Guingamp wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 46.0¢No 54.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Guingamp wins

If Guingamp wins the Guingamp vs Pau professional Ligue 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Guingamp vs Pau professiona

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Guingamp vs Pau professional Ligue 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Guingamp vs Pau prof

KALSHI

Pau wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 26.5¢No 73.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Pau wins

If Pau wins the Guingamp vs Pau professional Ligue 2 soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Guingamp vs Pau professional Lig

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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Guingamp vs Pau

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Events (1)

Guingamp vs Pau

Markets (3)

Guingamp wins

Guingamp wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Pau wins

Pau wins

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Guingamp wins

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Guingamp vs Pau

Guingamp wins

Guingamp wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

Pau wins

Pau wins

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