Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Patrick Mahomes Career Regular Season Passing Yards

Total Volume

$2.36

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Patrick Mahomes Career Regular Season Passing Yards

Vol

$2.36

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.36

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.36

100%

Kalshi leads

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6 markets tracked

Patrick Mahomes: 40,000+ Passing Yards

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Patrick Mahomes: 40,000+ Passing Yards	Kalshi	97%
Patrick Mahomes: 50,000+ Passing Yards	Kalshi	87%
Patrick Mahomes: 60,000+ Passing Yards	Kalshi	64%
Patrick Mahomes: 70,000+ Passing Yards	Kalshi	38%
Patrick Mahomes: 80,000+ Passing Yards	Kalshi	16%
Patrick Mahomes: 89,215+ Passing Yards	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$2.36

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Patrick Mahomes If Patrick Mahomes records at least X career regular season passing yards before Patrick Mahomes or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes records at least X career regular season passing yards before he or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way o

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Patrick Mahomes Career Regular Season Passing Yards
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Patrick Mahomes

If Patrick Mahomes records at least X career regular season passing yards before Patrick Mahomes or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes records at least X career regular season passing yards before he or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way o

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Patrick Mahomes records at least 89,215 career regular season passing yards before Patrick Mahomes or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes records at least 89,"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Patrick Mahomes: 89,215+ Passing Yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2040): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Patrick Mahomes: 80,000+ Passing Yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2040): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Patrick Mahomes: 70,000+ Passing Yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2040): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Patrick Mahomes: 60,000+ Passing Yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2040): Vol $2
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Patrick Mahomes: 50,000+ Passing Yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2040): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 87.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Patrick Mahomes: 40,000+ Passing Yards
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 8, 2040): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Patrick Mahomes Career Regular Season Passing Yards

Volume$2.36

Markets6

6 of 6

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KALSHI

Patrick Mahomes: 40,000+ Passing Yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIOther

Patrick Mahomes: 40,000+ Passing Yards

If Patrick Mahomes records at least 40,000 career regular season passing yards before Patrick Mahomes or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes records at least 40,

KALSHI

Patrick Mahomes: 50,000+ Passing Yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.0¢No 13.0¢

KALSHIOther

Patrick Mahomes: 50,000+ Passing Yards

If Patrick Mahomes records at least 50,000 career regular season passing yards before Patrick Mahomes or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes records at least 50,

KALSHI

Patrick Mahomes: 60,000+ Passing Yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 63.5¢No 36.5¢

KALSHIOther

Patrick Mahomes: 60,000+ Passing Yards

If Patrick Mahomes records at least 60,000 career regular season passing yards before Patrick Mahomes or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes records at least 60,

KALSHI

Patrick Mahomes: 70,000+ Passing Yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 38.0¢No 62.0¢

KALSHIOther

Patrick Mahomes: 70,000+ Passing Yards

If Patrick Mahomes records at least 70,000 career regular season passing yards before Patrick Mahomes or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes records at least 70,

KALSHI

Patrick Mahomes: 80,000+ Passing Yards

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢

KALSHIOther

Patrick Mahomes: 80,000+ Passing Yards

If Patrick Mahomes records at least 80,000 career regular season passing yards before Patrick Mahomes or any of the Source Agencies formally announce his retirement from Pro Football, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to Yes if Patrick Mahomes records at least 80,

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51¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ZFUeaU" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Patrick Mahomes Career Regular Season Passing Yards"></iframe>

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Patrick Mahomes Career Regular Season Passing Yards

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Patrick Mahomes: 40,000+ Passing Yards

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Events (1)

Patrick Mahomes Career Regular Season Passing Yards

Markets (6)

Patrick Mahomes: 40,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 40,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 50,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 50,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 60,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 60,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 70,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 70,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 80,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 80,000+ Passing Yards

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Patrick Mahomes: 40,000+ Passing Yards

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Patrick Mahomes Career Regular Season Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 40,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 40,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 50,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 50,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 60,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 60,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 70,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 70,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 80,000+ Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes: 80,000+ Passing Yards

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