Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 9:10 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

New Mexico vs Hawai'i: 1st Half Spread

Total Volume

$349.41

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

New Mexico vs Hawai'i: 1st Half Spread

Vol

$349.41

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $349.41

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Price gaps

of 0 cross-platform

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Volume DistributionTotal: $349.41

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

New Mexico wins 1H by over 3.5 points

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
New Mexico wins 1H by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	65%
New Mexico wins 1H by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	61%
New Mexico wins 1H by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	59%
New Mexico wins 1H by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	51%
Hawai'i wins 1H by over 2.5 points	Kalshi	50%
Hawai'i wins 1H by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	50%
Hawai'i wins 1H by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	50%
Hawai'i wins 1H by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	50%
New Mexico wins 1H by over 23.5 points	Kalshi	50%
New Mexico wins 1H by over 20.5 points	Kalshi	50%
New Mexico wins 1H by over 17.5 points	Kalshi	50%
New Mexico wins 1H by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	49%
New Mexico wins 1H by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	40%
New Mexico wins 1H by over 13.5 points	Kalshi	32%
New Mexico wins 1H by over 9.5 points	Kalshi	29%
New Mexico wins 1H by over 14.5 points	Kalshi	25%
Hawai'i wins 1H by over 3.5 points	Kalshi	17%
Hawai'i wins 1H by over 4.5 points	Kalshi	16%
Hawai'i wins 1H by over 6.5 points	Kalshi	15%
Hawai'i wins 1H by over 7.5 points	Kalshi	14%
Hawai'i wins 1H by over 10.5 points	Kalshi	13%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$349.41

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

UNM vs HAW (Oct 17) If New Mexico wins by more than X points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Hawai'i college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the mar

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New Mexico vs Hawai'i: 1st Half Spread
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** UNM vs HAW (Oct 17)

If New Mexico wins by more than X points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Hawai'i college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the mar

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If New Mexico wins by more than 7.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Hawai'i college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postpo"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $349
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. New Mexico wins 1H by over 7.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $349
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. New Mexico wins 1H by over 6.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. New Mexico wins 1H by over 4.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. New Mexico wins 1H by over 3.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. New Mexico wins 1H by over 2.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. New Mexico wins 1H by over 23.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. New Mexico wins 1H by over 20.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. New Mexico wins 1H by over 17.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. New Mexico wins 1H by over 14.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. New Mexico wins 1H by over 13.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. New Mexico wins 1H by over 10.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 39.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. New Mexico wins 1H by over 9.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Hawai'i wins 1H by over 7.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Hawai'i wins 1H by over 6.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Hawai'i wins 1H by over 4.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Hawai'i wins 1H by over 3.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Hawai'i wins 1H by over 2.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Hawai'i wins 1H by over 14.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Hawai'i wins 1H by over 13.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Hawai'i wins 1H by over 10.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Hawai'i wins 1H by over 9.5 points
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

New Mexico vs Hawai'i: 1st Half Spread

Volume$349.41

Markets21

21 of 21

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KALSHI

New Mexico wins 1H by over 3.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.0¢No 35.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

New Mexico wins 1H by over 3.5 points

If New Mexico wins by more than 3.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Hawai'i college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postpo

KALSHI

New Mexico wins 1H by over 4.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 60.5¢No 39.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

New Mexico wins 1H by over 4.5 points

If New Mexico wins by more than 4.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Hawai'i college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postpo

KALSHI

New Mexico wins 1H by over 6.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.5¢No 41.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

New Mexico wins 1H by over 6.5 points

If New Mexico wins by more than 6.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Hawai'i college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postpo

KALSHI

New Mexico wins 1H by over 2.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.5¢No 49.5¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

New Mexico wins 1H by over 2.5 points

If New Mexico wins by more than 2.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Hawai'i college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postpo

KALSHI

Hawai'i wins 1H by over 2.5 points

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHISports

CLOSING SOON

Hawai'i wins 1H by over 2.5 points

If Hawai'i wins by more than 2.5 points in the 1st half of the New Mexico vs Hawai'i college football game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Note: Only points scored during the 1st half of play count towards this market. If the game is postponed

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Oct 20, 2026, 2:30 AM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Saved price pairs

No exact saved pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ZKOp4i" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="New Mexico vs Hawai'i: 1st Half Spread"></iframe>

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New Mexico vs Hawai'i: 1st Half Spread

New Mexico vs Hawai'i: 1st Half Spread

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

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New Mexico wins 1H by over 3.5 points

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

New Mexico vs Hawai'i: 1st Half Spread

Markets (21)

New Mexico wins 1H by over 3.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 3.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 4.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 4.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 6.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 6.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 2.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Hawai'i wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Hawai'i wins 1H by over 2.5 points

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

New Mexico wins 1H by over 3.5 points

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

New Mexico vs Hawai'i: 1st Half Spread

New Mexico wins 1H by over 3.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 3.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 4.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 4.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 6.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 6.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 2.5 points

New Mexico wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Hawai'i wins 1H by over 2.5 points

Hawai'i wins 1H by over 2.5 points

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