Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Name: Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
End: 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$2.27K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Vol

$2.27K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.27K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.27K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31, 2026?	Poly	63%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026?	Poly	45%
Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?	Poly	23%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

63%

Top Probability

$2.27K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2027 (82 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.

Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $21.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.10)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Another critical Cloudflare incident by October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $746
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Another critical Cloudflare incident by November 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $309
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETTech