Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T00:00:06.197Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The saved event is "Detroit vs Miami: 2nd Quarter Winner," listed under Sports. Its rules state: "If X wins the 2nd quarter of the Detroit vs Miami Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] The rules add: "Only points scored during the 2nd quarter of play count towards this market." [1] The contracts therefore cover the second quarter only, not the full game.

The rules also address postponement. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, "all markets will resolve to a fair price." [1] The excerpt says the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared." [1]

Reading the snapshot

The record was observed on 2026-10-24 and retrieved on 2026-10-30. It is archived, so it shows past readings and is not a live quote. The saved Kalshi Yes prices were 0.49 for Detroit winning the quarter, 0.445 for Miami, and 0.05 for a second-quarter tie. [1] Each Yes and No pair sums to 1 in the record. All three saved markets for this event are included, and the coverage data flags no partial sample. [1]

These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record contains no volume, liquidity, or trader counts, so it says nothing about how deep the market was or how many people traded. The prices come from a single platform, so they should not be averaged with or compared against prices from any other source.

The market data lists an end date of 2026-10-26, but the event excerpt says the listed end time was not supplied. Treat that date as a field in the saved record, not a confirmed resolution date. Resolution follows the rules quoted above.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show whether the game was played, postponed, or cancelled, nor the final second-quarter result. It also does not show the current status of any contract. The status field reads "active," but that describes the saved record, not conditions today. The sample warning states that "This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome." [1] Because the contracts cover only one quarter, the snapshot does not describe the full game. The evidence does not explain why the prices were where they were.

References

1. Kalshi: Detroit vs Miami: 2nd Quarter Winner. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T00:00:06.197Z.