Detroit vs Miami: 2nd Quarter Spread
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Detroit vs Miami: 2nd Quarter Spread
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Detroit wins by over 2.5 points at 52%.
Kalshi
- Detroit wins by over 2.5 points52%
- Detroit wins by over 3.5 points45.5%
- Detroit wins by over 6.5 points33.5%
- Miami wins by over 2.5 points28%
- Detroit wins by over 7.5 points23%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 4, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
DET vs MIA (Nov 8) If Miami wins by more than X points in the 2nd Quarter of the Detroit vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only points scored during the 2nd Quarter of play count towards this market. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The snapshot covers a Kalshi event titled "Detroit vs Miami: 2nd Quarter Spread" [1]. Each contract asks whether one team wins the second quarter by more than a set number of points. The source states: "If Miami wins by more than X points in the 2nd Quarter of the Detroit vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." It also says "Only points scored during the 2nd Quarter of play count towards this market" [1]. The wording covers only the second quarter, not the full game, so contracts on different scopes should not be compared directly.
The provider lists the event status as active and says the market "will close and expire after the event occurs" [1]. The excerpt does not supply a listed end time. The market records show an endDate of 2026-11-10T18:00:00.000Z for each contract, but that field is a provider record, not an event time announced in the evidence.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-11-04T06:22:39.353Z [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample contains all 10 saved markets for this event, with no partial sampling flagged [1]. Those markets are not the full real-world field. The source notes that "This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1].
Yes prices for Detroit thresholds were 0.53 (over 2.5), 0.31 (over 3.5), 0.27 (over 6.5), 0.215 (over 7.5), and 0.105 (over 10.5). Yes prices for Miami thresholds were 0.26 (over 2.5), 0.225 (over 3.5), 0.115 (over 6.5), 0.08 (over 7.5), and 0.06 (over 10.5). Within each team, higher thresholds carry lower Yes prices. Across teams, the contracts are separate and should not be summed, averaged, or treated as an arbitrage signal because their prices differ. The snapshot does not explain why any price is where it is.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show whether the game has been played or how it resolved. It also does not supply a verified listed end time, trading volume, liquidity, or the number of traders. The word "originally" in the contract text indicates the scheduled date may have changed, but the evidence does not say how or why. Readers should check the provider's current status before relying on any figure, since these prices describe only the observation time above.
References
- Kalshi: Detroit vs Miami: 2nd Quarter Spread . Provider data observed 2026-11-03T21:00:06.031Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 4, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event titled "Detroit vs Miami: 2nd Quarter Spread." The provider's event page describes a Pro Football game between Detroit and Miami, labeled "DET vs MIA (Nov 8)" and described as "originally scheduled for Nov 8, 2026" [1]. The word "originally" means the listed date was the scheduled date at the time of the provider record. The supplied evidence does not establish whether the game was played on that date, when it was played, or what its result was. The contract family is built around the margin in one quarter rather than the final score. According to the provider, "If Miami wins by more than X points in the 2nd Quarter" of the game, the corresponding market resolves to Yes, and "Only points scored during the 2nd Quarter of play count towards this market" [1]. Each contract therefore uses a threshold X, and the contracts in this event vary that threshold for each team. The saved market titles include phrasings such as "Detroit wins 2Q by over 2.5 points?" and "Miami wins 2Q by over 6.5 points?" [1]. Each market has Yes and No outcomes, and the saved prices are snapshots of those outcomes, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The provider also states that the market "will close and expire after the event occurs" [1]. The market records in the saved data list an end date of 2026-11-10T18:00:00.000Z. That date is a listed contract end time in the provider data, not an announced date for the game or any other event. The saved sample for this event includes 10 contracts, and all of them are included. Those 10 contracts are the saved provider markets for this event only. The provider notes that this does not establish that every possible real-world outcome or threshold is listed [1]. A price for a contract that is not in the sample says nothing about that contract, and comparing the saved prices with those of contracts in other events would not be a like-for-like comparison.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow outcome: whether one team's scoring margin in the second quarter of a specific game exceeds a stated threshold. Because it is limited to second-quarter points [1], it is a different question from who wins the full game. Traders and readers can use the structure to see how a single-quarter market is defined, including which team the Yes outcome refers to, what threshold applies, and which points count. Price snapshots from the provider show how the market priced each threshold at the time of observation [1], but they are not verified probabilities of the outcome.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-03 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for a Detroit or Miami contract to resolve to Yes?
For each contract, the stated team must win the second quarter by more than the threshold in the market title. The provider's rule language gives the example that if Miami wins by more than X points in the 2nd Quarter, the market resolves to Yes [1].
Do points scored in other quarters count?
No. The provider states that only points scored during the 2nd Quarter of play count towards this market [1].
Is the game listed as already played?
The supplied evidence does not say. The provider lists the game as originally scheduled for November 8, 2026, and the saved market status is active in the snapshot [1]. The snapshot was observed before the listed contract end date, so it does not show a final result.
Is Kalshi affiliated with the league that governs the game?
According to the provider, Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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