Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
99%
Top Probability
$0.00
Volume
40
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
Oct 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for gold on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT is above X USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. When confirming the settlement value, note the close price for the 1-minute candlestick at a given time is the price at the end of the immediately preceding one-minute interval. For example, the candlestick timestamped 4:59 PM reflects trading during 4:59:00 PM
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Saved price pairs
0
No exact saved pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
40 markets tracked
Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.
Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.
Will the gold close price be above 3987 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(40)
Market
Platform
Price
Will the gold close price be above 3987 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99%
Will the gold close price be above 4017 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99%
Will the gold close price be above 4007 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99%
Will the gold close price be above 3997 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
99%
Will the gold close price be above 4047 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
98%
Will the gold close price be above 4037 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
98%
Will the gold close price be above 4027 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
98%
Will the gold close price be above 4087 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
97%
Will the gold close price be above 4077 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
97%
Will the gold close price be above 4067 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
97%
Will the gold close price be above 4057 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
97%
Will the gold close price be above 4097 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
95%
Will the gold close price be above 4107 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
93%
Will the gold close price be above 4117 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
90%
Will the gold close price be above 4127 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
86%
Will the gold close price be above 4137 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
82%
Will the gold close price be above 4147 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
76%
Will the gold close price be above 4157 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
70%
Will the gold close price be above 4167 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
63%
Will the gold close price be above 4177 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
56%
Will the gold close price be above 4187 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
48%
Will the gold close price be above 4197 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
41%
Will the gold close price be above 4207 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
33%
Will the gold close price be above 4217 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
27%
Will the gold close price be above 4227 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
21%
Will the gold close price be above 4237 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
16%
Will the gold close price be above 4247 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
12%
Will the gold close price be above 4257 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
9%
Will the gold close price be above 4267 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
6%
Will the gold close price be above 4277 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
5%
Will the gold close price be above 4307 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
3%
Will the gold close price be above 4297 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
3%
Will the gold close price be above 4287 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
3%
Will the gold close price be above 4347 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4337 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4327 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4317 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4377 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4367 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
Kalshi
2%
Will the gold close price be above 4357 USD/t.oz on October 14, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?