Name: Super Rugby Pacific: Fijian Drua vs Moana Pasifika
End: 2026-02-21T03:35:00.000Z

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Super Rugby Pacific: Fijian Drua vs Moana Pasifika | PredictPedia

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3 markets tracked

Will Fijian Drua win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Fijian Drua win?	Poly	83%
Will Moana Pasifika win?	Poly	19%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	4%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, February 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Super Rugby Pacific: Fijian Drua vs Moana Pasifika
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Feb 21, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Super Rugby Pacific match between Fijian Drua and Moana Pasifika, scheduled for February 13 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for February 13 2026
If Fijian Drua wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $24.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $815
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 30.20)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Fijian Drua win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 21, 2026): Vol $23.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 21, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Moana Pasifika win?
- **Polymarket** (End: Feb 21, 2026): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

35¢

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Super Rugby Pacific: Fijian Drua vs Moana Pasifika

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Will Fijian Drua win?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Super Rugby Pacific: Fijian Drua vs Moana Pasifika

Markets (3)

Will Fijian Drua win?

Will Fijian Drua win?

Will Moana Pasifika win?

Will Moana Pasifika win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Will Fijian Drua win?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Super Rugby Pacific: Fijian Drua vs Moana Pasifika

Will Fijian Drua win?

Will Fijian Drua win?

Will Moana Pasifika win?

Will Moana Pasifika win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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