Name: LALIGA: Top Goalscorer
End: 2026-05-30T00:00:00.000Z

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LALIGA: Top Goalscorer | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $2.25M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.25M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

31 markets tracked

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(31)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	95%
Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	4%
Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Iago Aspas be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Alexander Sorloth be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Raphinha be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Cyle Larin be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Ante Budimir be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Julian Alvarez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Gonzalo Garcia be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Oihan Sancet be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Marcus Rashford be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Broja Iglesias be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Vinicius Junior be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Hugo Duro be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Ayoze Perez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Gorka Guruzeta be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Dodi Lukebakio be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Dani Olmo be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Javi Puado be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Cristhian Stuani be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Daniel Raba be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Inaki Williams be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Abel Ruiz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Alex Baena be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Antoine Griezmann be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Roberto Fernandez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%
Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$2.25M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Goals scored in La Liga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., Copa del Rey, Spanish Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players ti

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, May 20, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LALIGA:  Top Goalscorer 
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 30, 2026 (10 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Goals scored in La Liga matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., Copa del Rey, Spanish Super Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market.

If multiple players ti

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season.

If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Goals scored in La Liga matc"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $2.25M
* **Total Liquidity:** $81.3K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 27.67)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $51.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Robert Lewandowski be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $108.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Iago Aspas be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $56.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Alexander Sorloth be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $52.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Raphinha be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $27.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Cyle Larin be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $32.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ante Budimir be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $20.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Julian Alvarez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $31.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Gonzalo Garcia be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $57.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Oihan Sancet be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $466.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Lamine Yamal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $216.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Marcus Rashford be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $39.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Broja Iglesias be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $59.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Vinicius Junior be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $33.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $16.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Hugo Duro be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $60.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Ayoze Perez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $24.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $41.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Gorka Guruzeta be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $36.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Dodi Lukebakio be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $20.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Dani Olmo be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $52.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Javi Puado be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $50.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Cristhian Stuani be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $28.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Daniel Raba be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $32.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Inaki Williams be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $24.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Abel Ruiz be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $30.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Alex Baena be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $123.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Antoine Griezmann be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $13.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Jude Bellingham be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $22.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Roberto Fernandez be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $18.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Ferran Torres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 30, 2026): Vol $399.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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