Who will be the next Speaker of the House? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

Who will be the next Speaker of the House?

Total Volume

$8.53K

Events

Markets

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Who will be the next Speaker of the House?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $8.53K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.53K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?	Kalshi	71%
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker of the House?	Kalshi	13%
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker of the House?	Kalshi	11%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

71%

Top Probability

$8.53K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before 2031 If X is the first Speaker of the House after Mike Johnson, before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, March 1, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will be the next Speaker of the House?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2031

If X is the first Speaker of the House after Mike Johnson, before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Steve Scalise is the first Speaker of the House after Mike Johnson, before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker of the House?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $710
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker of the House?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2031): Vol $6.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 71.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

32¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ZReclL" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Who will be the next Speaker of the House?"></iframe>

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Who will be the next Speaker of the House?

Who will be the next Speaker of the House?

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Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Hakeem Jeffries be the next Speaker of the House?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)