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46th FIDE Chess Olympiad: Team USA

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$0.00

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46th FIDE Chess Olympiad: Team USA

Vol

$0.00

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will Hans Niemann be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

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Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Hans Niemann be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	99%
Will Fabiano Caruana be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	98%
Will Wesley So be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	98%
Will Levon Aronian be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	98%
Will John Donaldson be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	98%
Will Awonder Liang be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	97%
Will Leinier Domínguez Pérez be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	3%
Will Sam Shankland be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	2%
Will Samuel Sevian be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ray Robson be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	2%
Will Mikhail Antipov be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	2%
Will Jeffery Xiong be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	2%
Will Hikaru Nakamura be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	2%
Will Grigoriy Oparin be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	2%
Will Abhimanyu Mishra be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$0.00

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About This Event

2026 If X is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament originally scheduled from Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 28, 2026. This market resolves based on whether X is selected to the team as either a captain or a player. If they are selected but do not end up participating in the event, then the market still resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire after th

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad: Team USA
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If X is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament originally scheduled from Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 28, 2026. This market resolves based on whether X is selected to the team as either a captain or a player. If they are selected but do not end up participating in the event, then the market still resolves to Yes. This market will close and expire after th

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Fabiano Caruana is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament originally scheduled from Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 28, 2026.

This market resolve"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Fabiano Caruana be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Wesley So be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Sam Shankland be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Samuel Sevian be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ray Robson be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Mikhail Antipov be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Leinier Domínguez Pérez be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Levon Aronian be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Jeffery Xiong be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will John Donaldson be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Hans Niemann be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Hikaru Nakamura be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Grigoriy Oparin be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Abhimanyu Mishra be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Awonder Liang be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 29, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

46th FIDE Chess Olympiad: Team USA

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Markets15

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KALSHI

Will Hans Niemann be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Hans Niemann be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

If Hans Niemann is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament originally scheduled from Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 28, 2026. This market resolves b

KALSHI

Will Fabiano Caruana be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Fabiano Caruana be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

If Fabiano Caruana is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament originally scheduled from Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 28, 2026. This market resolve

KALSHI

Will Wesley So be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Wesley So be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

If Wesley So is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament originally scheduled from Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 28, 2026. This market resolves base

KALSHI

Will Levon Aronian be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Levon Aronian be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

If Levon Aronian is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament originally scheduled from Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 28, 2026. This market resolves

KALSHI

Will John Donaldson be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHISports

Will John Donaldson be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

If John Donaldson is selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market refers to the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament originally scheduled from Sep 15, 2026 to Sep 28, 2026. This market resolves

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40¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ZVe8IT" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="46th FIDE Chess Olympiad: Team USA"></iframe>

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46th FIDE Chess Olympiad: Team USA

46th FIDE Chess Olympiad: Team USA

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Will Hans Niemann be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

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Events (1)

46th FIDE Chess Olympiad: Team USA

Markets (15)

Will Hans Niemann be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Hans Niemann be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Fabiano Caruana be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Fabiano Caruana be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Wesley So be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Wesley So be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Levon Aronian be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Levon Aronian be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will John Donaldson be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will John Donaldson be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

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Will Hans Niemann be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

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46th FIDE Chess Olympiad: Team USA

Will Hans Niemann be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Hans Niemann be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Fabiano Caruana be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Fabiano Caruana be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Wesley So be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Wesley So be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Levon Aronian be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will Levon Aronian be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will John Donaldson be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

Will John Donaldson be selected to the United States team for the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?

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