Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US gas prices this week

Total Volume

$32.54K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US gas prices this week

Vol

$32.54K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $32.54K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $32.54K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

21 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2200?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2400?	Kalshi	97%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2600?	Kalshi	96%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2800?	Kalshi	87%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3000?	Kalshi	79%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3200?	Kalshi	65%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3400?	Kalshi	52%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3600?	Kalshi	28%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3800?	Kalshi	16%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4000?	Kalshi	15%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4400?	Kalshi	6%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4200?	Kalshi	6%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4600?	Kalshi	5%
Will average gas prices be above $4.5600?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.5400?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.5200?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.5000?	Kalshi	1%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4800?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$32.54K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Oct 19, 2026 If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than X on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US gas prices this week
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Oct 19, 2026

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than X on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.5600 on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $32.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $181
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $104
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $154
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $93
  DATA: [Yes: 14.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $5.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 27.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $164
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $542
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $520
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $485
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $4.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 26, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US gas prices this week

On Oct 19, 2026 If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than X on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$32.54K

Markets21

21 of 21

Sort:

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.2000 on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.1800 on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.1600 on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.2200?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.2200?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.2200 on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.2400?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.2400?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.2400 on Oct 19, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

45¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ZZ0yBr" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US gas prices this week"></iframe>

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US gas prices this week

US gas prices this week

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Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

US gas prices this week

Markets (21)

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

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Trade This Market

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US gas prices this week

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1800?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1600?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2200?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2400?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget

Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2200?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2200?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1800?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

Will average gas prices be above $4.1600?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2200?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2200?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2400?

Will average gas prices be above $4.2400?