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GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsEntertainment

Most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Name: Most popular baby boy name in 2025?
End: 2025-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$844.78K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Vol

$844.78K

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $844.78K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

1.1%avg

max 1.9%

Arbitrage

of 10 cross-platform

Calculate

Volume DistributionTotal: $844.78K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

No data available

Cross-Platform Comparison(10)

Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	92%	94%	2%
Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	5%	6%	1%
Will James rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	1%	2%	1%
Will Elijah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	1%	2%	1%
Will Henry rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	0%	2%	2%
Will Oliver rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	0%	2%	1%
Will William rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	0%	2%	1%
Will Theodore rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	1%	1%	0%
Will Lucas rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	0%	2%	1%
Will Mateo rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	1%	1%	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

94%

Top Probability

$844.78K

Volume

Markets

1.1%

Price Gap

About This Event

Before Dec 2026 If X is the #1 most popular baby boy name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by the Social Security Administration. The SSA usually releases this list in May of the following year. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, August 22, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Most popular baby boy name in 2025?
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Dec 2026

If X is the #1 most popular baby boy name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by the Social Security Administration. The SSA usually releases this list in May of the following year. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If William is the #1 most popular baby boy name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $844.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.8K
* **Activity Level:** Very High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 95.90)
* **Platform Split:** Polymarket (10 mkts) vs Kalshi (10 mkts)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will William be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $26.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.4% spread between platforms.

### 2. Will Theodore be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $39.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Oliver be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $38.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.2% spread between platforms.

### 4. Will Noah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $166.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Mateo be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $44.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Lucas be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $27.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.4% spread between platforms.

### 7. Will Liam be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $191.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 91.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.3% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.8% spread between platforms.

### 8. Will James be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $208.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Henry be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $37.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]
  > **ALERT:** 1.9% spread between platforms.

### 10. Will Elijah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 31, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $66.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Rules

Different

Timing

Similar

KALSHIEntertainment

Most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Volume$0.00

Markets10

POLYMARKETCulture

Most popular boy name 2025

This market will resolve according to the male name ranked #1 in the U.S. Social Security Administration’s (SSA) official list of popular baby names for 2025, published on the SSA website: https://www.ssa.gov/oact/babynames/. The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Male name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025. This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ran

Volume$844.78K

Markets10

10 of 10

Sort:

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Liam be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average92.6%

Polymarket

91.8%

Kalshi+1.8%

93.5%

Difference:1.8%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 91.8¢No 8.3¢

KKalshi

Yes 93.5¢No 6.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Liam be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

If Liam is the #1 most popular baby boy name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by the

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Noah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average5.5%

Polymarket

5.1%

Kalshi+0.9%

6.0%

Difference:0.9%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 5.1¢No 94.9¢

KKalshi

Yes 6.0¢No 94.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Noah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

If Noah is the #1 most popular baby boy name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by the

Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will James be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average1.6%

Polymarket

1.3%

Kalshi+0.8%

2.0%

Difference:0.8%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 1.3¢No 98.8¢

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will James be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

If James is the #1 most popular baby boy name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by the

Will James rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Elijah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average1.5%

Polymarket

1.1%

Kalshi+0.9%

2.0%

Difference:0.9%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 1.1¢No 99.0¢

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Elijah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

If Elijah is the #1 most popular baby boy name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by th

Will Elijah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Will Henry be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

POLYMARKETKALSHI

Platform Price Comparison

Average1.0%

Polymarket

0.1%

Kalshi+1.9%

2.0%

Difference:1.9%

Kalshi higher

PMPolymarket

Yes 0.1¢No 100.0¢

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Henry be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

If Henry is the #1 most popular baby boy name on the Social Security Administration’s list of most popular U.S. baby names in 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on the official list of the most popular baby names in the United States, as published by the

Will Henry rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

10¢

Polymarket

11¢

Kalshi

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Most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Most popular baby boy name in 2025?

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Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Rules & Resolution

Events (2)

Most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Most popular boy name 2025

Markets (10)

Will Liam be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Liam be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Noah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Noah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will James be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will James be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will James rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Elijah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Elijah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Elijah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Henry be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Henry be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Henry rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

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Discussion

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Event Comparison

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Rules & Resolution

Most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Most popular boy name 2025

Will Liam be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Liam be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Noah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Noah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will James be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will James be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will James rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Elijah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Elijah be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Elijah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Will Henry be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Henry be the #1 most popular baby boy name in 2025?

Will Henry rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Platform Breakdown

Event Comparison

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