GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

Name: Alaska Senate and Governor Combo
End: 2026-11-03T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$9.87K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

Vol

$9.87K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $9.87K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $9.87K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Poly	46%
Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?	Poly	24%
Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election?	Poly	14%
Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?	Poly	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

46%

Top Probability

$9.87K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these ele

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Alaska Senate and Governor Combo
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Nov 3, 2026 (60 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these ele

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. 

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $9.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $10.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.93)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Republicans sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Democrats win the Alaska Governor election and Republicans win the Alaska Senate election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 3, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics