FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay | PredictPedia

Events

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay

Name: FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay
End: 2026-03-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$73.99

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Markets

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FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $73.99

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $73.99

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay	Poly	44%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

44%

Top Probability

$73.99

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30,

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, January 16, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 31, 2026 (74 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30,

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $74
* **Total Liquidity:** $194
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.38)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 31, 2026): Vol $74
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Next Market Closes

73d 12h remaining

Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM

Market Insights

Average Yes Price

44¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ZhMnT_" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay"></iframe>

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FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay

FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay

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FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)