Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Second Half Winner

Total Volume

$8.04

Events

Markets

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: Second Half Winner

Vol

$8.04

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $8.04

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.04

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Tie 2nd Half

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Tie 2nd Half	Kalshi	48%
Bilbao wins 2nd Half	Kalshi	41%
Vallecano wins 2nd Half	Kalshi	35%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$8.04

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

RVC vs ATH (Oct 10) If X is the Y of the second half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the the X of the second half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If no goals are scored during the half, or the teams score an equal number of goals

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Vallecano vs Bilbao: Second Half Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** RVC vs ATH (Oct 10)

If X is the Y of the second half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the the X of the second half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time. If no goals are scored during the half, or the teams score an equal number of goals

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the second half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the the result of the second half in the Val"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie 2nd Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Vallecano wins 2nd Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Bilbao wins 2nd Half
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $8
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Second Half Winner

Volume$8.04

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Tie 2nd Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIOther

Tie 2nd Half

If Tie is the result of the second half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the the result of the second half in the Val

KALSHI

Bilbao wins 2nd Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.5¢No 59.5¢

KALSHISports

Bilbao wins 2nd Half

If Bilbao is the winner of the second half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the the winner of the second half in the

KALSHI

Vallecano wins 2nd Half

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 34.5¢No 65.5¢

KALSHISports

Vallecano wins 2nd Half

If Vallecano is the winner of the second half in the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026 after 45 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the the winner of the second half in t

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Average Yes Price

41¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ZlaIg8" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Vallecano vs Bilbao: Second Half Winner"></iframe>

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: Second Half Winner

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Second Half Winner

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Tie 2nd Half

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Events (1)

Vallecano vs Bilbao: Second Half Winner

Markets (3)

Tie 2nd Half

Tie 2nd Half

Bilbao wins 2nd Half

Bilbao wins 2nd Half

Vallecano wins 2nd Half

Vallecano wins 2nd Half

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Tie 2nd Half

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: Second Half Winner

Tie 2nd Half

Tie 2nd Half

Bilbao wins 2nd Half

Bilbao wins 2nd Half

Vallecano wins 2nd Half

Vallecano wins 2nd Half

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