Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader | PredictPedia

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22 markets tracked

Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

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Single-Platform Markets(22)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	38%
Will Kyle Schwarber lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	20%
Will Shohei Ohtani lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	18%
Will Yordan Alvarez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	8%
Will Cal Raleigh lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	3%
Will Nick Kurtz lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	3%
Will Munetaka Murakami lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	3%
Will Junior Caminero lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	3%
Will Jo Adell lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	3%
Will Pete Alonso lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Rafael Devers lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Ronald Acuña Jr. lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Juan Soto lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Julio Rodríguez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Fernando Tatis Jr. lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Bobby Witt Jr. lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	2%
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	1%
Will Brent Rooker lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	1%
Will Bryce Harper lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	1%
Will Roman Anthony lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	1%
Will Matt Olson lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	1%
Will Eugenio Suárez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?	Kalshi	1%

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026 regular season

If X leads Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics. Only statistics from games officially designated as part of the specified season type are included. Preseason, postseason, playoff, exhibition, friendly, or all-star statistics are excluded unless the season_type specifically incl

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Yordan Alvarez leads Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The participant must have the highest total of the specified statistic across the entire season type as documented by the official league statistics. Only statistics from "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yordan Alvarez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Shohei Ohtani lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Rafael Devers lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Roman Anthony lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Ronald Acuña Jr. lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Pete Alonso lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Nick Kurtz lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Matt Olson lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Munetaka Murakami lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Kyle Schwarber lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Juan Soto lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Julio Rodríguez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Junior Caminero lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Jo Adell lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Fernando Tatis Jr. lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Eugenio Suárez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Cal Raleigh lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Bobby Witt Jr. lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Brent Rooker lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Bryce Harper lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

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Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader

Markets (22)

Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Kyle Schwarber lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Kyle Schwarber lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Shohei Ohtani lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Shohei Ohtani lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Yordan Alvarez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Yordan Alvarez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Cal Raleigh lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Cal Raleigh lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Pro Baseball Home Runs Leader

Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Aaron Judge lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Kyle Schwarber lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Kyle Schwarber lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Shohei Ohtani lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Shohei Ohtani lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Yordan Alvarez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Yordan Alvarez lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Cal Raleigh lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

Will Cal Raleigh lead Pro Baseball in home runs for the 2026 regular season?

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