How much will the Steam Machine cost? | PredictPedia

Events

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHICompanies

How much will the Steam Machine cost?

Total Volume

$92.75K

Events

Markets

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How much will the Steam Machine cost?

Vol

$92.75K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $92.75K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $92.75K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $400)

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $400)	Kalshi	97%
How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $500)	Kalshi	94%
How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $600)	Kalshi	90%
How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $700)	Kalshi	75%
How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $800)	Kalshi	63%
How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $900)	Kalshi	25%
How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $1000)	Kalshi	13%
How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $1100)	Kalshi	6%
How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $1200)	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

97%

Top Probability

$92.75K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Before 2027 If the first price announced for new Steam Machine by Valve Corporation is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, March 2, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** How much will the Steam Machine cost?
**Category:** Companies | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If the first price announced for new Steam Machine by Valve Corporation is at least X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the first price announced for new Steam Machine by Valve Corporation is at least $900, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $92.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $900)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $33.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $800)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $19.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 62.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $700)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $14.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $600)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $5.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 89.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 10.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $500)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $69
  DATA: [Yes: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $400)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $1200)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $924
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $1100)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $1.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $1000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $15.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

52¢

Kalshi

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

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How much will the Steam Machine cost?

How much will the Steam Machine cost?

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How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $400)

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About This Event

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

How much will new Steam Machine cost? (At least $400)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)