Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?

Name: USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?
End: 2026-12-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$8.17K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?

Vol

$8.17K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $8.17K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.17K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?	Poly	70%
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?	Poly	67%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

70%

Top Probability

$8.17K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) is physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The ship's location will be determined by official information from the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, or U.S. European Command, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The ship's location at the spe

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 1, 2026 (51 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) is physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The ship's location will be determined by official information from the U.S. Navy, the U.S. Department of Defense, U.S. Central Command, U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, or U.S. European Command, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The ship's location at the spe

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USS George H.W. Bush (CVN-77) is physically located within the U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) area of responsibility at 12:00 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The ship's location will be determined by official informatio"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $43.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.19)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on October 31, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $6.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 67.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 69.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 30.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics