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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

MLB: Player to Record Most Intentional Walks?

Name: MLB: Player to Record Most Intentional Walks?
End: 2026-09-28T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$17.35K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

MLB: Player to Record Most Intentional Walks?

Vol

$17.35K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $17.35K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $17.35K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

13 markets tracked

Will Yordan Alvarez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Yordan Alvarez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	98%
Will Ben Rice record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	2%
Will Shohei Ohtani record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	1%
Will Nick Kurtz record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	1%
Will Munetaka Murakami record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	1%
Will James Wood record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will José Ramírez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will Jonathan Aranda record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will Aaron Judge record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will Juan Soto record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will Mike Trout record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will Iván Herrera record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%
Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$17.35K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the most intentional walks. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MLB: Player to Record Most Intentional Walks?
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Sep 28, 2026 (23 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the most intentional walks. 

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher on base percentage. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the 2026 MLB season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026 MLB regular season with the most intentional walks. 

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with more walks during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $17.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $28.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.61)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yordan Alvarez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $6.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Aaron Judge record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Shohei Ohtani record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $836
  DATA: [Yes: 1.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.8% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Nick Kurtz record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.9% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Ben Rice record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $689
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will James Wood record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $833
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will José Ramírez record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $1.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Juan Soto record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Mike Trout record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $497
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Munetaka Murakami record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $848
  DATA: [Yes: 0.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.4% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Iván Herrera record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $597
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $588
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Jonathan Aranda record the most intentional walks during the 2026 MLB regular season?
- **Polymarket** (End: Sep 28, 2026): Vol $645
  DATA: [Yes: 0.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports