Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Gremio vs Cruzeiro

Total Volume

$2.63

Events

Markets

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Gremio vs Cruzeiro

Vol

$2.63

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $2.63

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $2.63

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Cruzeiro wins

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Cruzeiro wins	Kalshi	44%
Gremio wins	Kalshi	30%
Tie is the result	Kalshi	27%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

44%

Top Probability

$2.63

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

GPA vs CRU (Oct 18) If X wins the Gremio vs Cruzeiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Gremio vs Cruzeiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Gremio vs Cruzeiro
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** GPA vs CRU (Oct 18)

If X wins the Gremio vs Cruzeiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Gremio vs Cruzeiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the market

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tie is the result of the Gremio vs Cruzeiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Gremio"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tie is the result
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 27.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Gremio wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Cruzeiro wins
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 20, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 43.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 56.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Gremio vs Cruzeiro

Volume$2.63

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

KALSHI

Cruzeiro wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 43.5¢No 56.5¢

KALSHISports

Cruzeiro wins

If Cruzeiro wins the Gremio vs Cruzeiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Gremio vs Cru

KALSHI

Gremio wins

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHISports

Gremio wins

If Gremio wins the Gremio vs Cruzeiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Gremio vs Cruze

KALSHI

Tie is the result

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 27.3¢No 72.8¢

KALSHIOther

Tie is the result

If Tie is the result of the Gremio vs Cruzeiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to the Gremio

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Average Yes Price

33¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/ZyAKYA" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Gremio vs Cruzeiro"></iframe>

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Gremio vs Cruzeiro

Gremio vs Cruzeiro

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Cruzeiro wins

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Gremio vs Cruzeiro

Markets (3)

Cruzeiro wins

Cruzeiro wins

Gremio wins

Gremio wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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Cruzeiro wins

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Gremio vs Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro wins

Cruzeiro wins

Gremio wins

Gremio wins

Tie is the result

Tie is the result

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