Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Goalscorer

Total Volume

$677.81

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Goalscorer

Vol

$677.81

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $677.81

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $677.81

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Mujaid Sadick: First Goalscorer

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Mujaid Sadick: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Ivan Balliu: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Florian Lejeune: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Adria Pedrosa: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Unai Lopez: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Pathe Ciss: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Jorge De Frutos: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Alvaro Garcia: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Yuri Berchiche: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Yeray Alvarez: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Robert Navarro: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Jesus Areso: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Inigo Ruiz De Galarreta: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Benat Gerenabarrena: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
Alex Berenguer: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	48%
No Goal: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	38%
Pedro Díaz: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	38%
Aitor Paredes: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	38%
Sergio Camello: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	32%
Inaki Williams: First Goalscorer	Kalshi	20%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

48%

Top Probability

$677.81

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

RVC vs ATH (Oct 10) If X records the first goal during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If a player is active but never enters

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Goalscorer
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** RVC vs ATH (Oct 10)

If X records the first goal during the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to a player in the entire game, regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods, of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If a player is active but never enters

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Unai Lopez records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player i"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $678
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Unai Lopez: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Sergio Camello: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $243
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Pedro Díaz: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Pathe Ciss: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Mujaid Sadick: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Jorge De Frutos: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Ivan Balliu: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Florian Lejeune: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Adria Pedrosa: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $12
  DATA: [Yes: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Alvaro Garcia: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $157
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. No Goal: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Yuri Berchiche: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Yeray Alvarez: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Robert Navarro: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Jesus Areso: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Inaki Williams: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $261
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Inigo Ruiz De Galarreta: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Benat Gerenabarrena: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Aitor Paredes: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Alex Berenguer: First Goalscorer
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Goalscorer

Volume$677.81

Markets20

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KALSHI

Mujaid Sadick: First Goalscorer

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢

KALSHISports

Mujaid Sadick: First Goalscorer

If Mujaid Sadick records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a playe

KALSHI

Ivan Balliu: First Goalscorer

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢

KALSHISports

Ivan Balliu: First Goalscorer

If Ivan Balliu records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player

KALSHI

Florian Lejeune: First Goalscorer

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢

KALSHISports

Florian Lejeune: First Goalscorer

If Florian Lejeune records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a pla

KALSHI

Adria Pedrosa: First Goalscorer

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 48.0¢No 52.0¢

KALSHISports

Adria Pedrosa: First Goalscorer

If Adria Pedrosa records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a playe

KALSHI

Unai Lopez: First Goalscorer

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHISports

Unai Lopez: First Goalscorer

If Unai Lopez records the first goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Vallecano vs Bilbao professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The following market refers to a player i

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44¢

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Goalscorer

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Mujaid Sadick: First Goalscorer

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Events (1)

Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Goalscorer

Markets (20)

Mujaid Sadick: First Goalscorer

Mujaid Sadick: First Goalscorer

Ivan Balliu: First Goalscorer

Ivan Balliu: First Goalscorer

Florian Lejeune: First Goalscorer

Florian Lejeune: First Goalscorer

Adria Pedrosa: First Goalscorer

Adria Pedrosa: First Goalscorer

Unai Lopez: First Goalscorer

Unai Lopez: First Goalscorer

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Mujaid Sadick: First Goalscorer

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Vallecano vs Bilbao: First Goalscorer

Mujaid Sadick: First Goalscorer

Mujaid Sadick: First Goalscorer

Ivan Balliu: First Goalscorer

Ivan Balliu: First Goalscorer

Florian Lejeune: First Goalscorer

Florian Lejeune: First Goalscorer

Adria Pedrosa: First Goalscorer

Adria Pedrosa: First Goalscorer

Unai Lopez: First Goalscorer

Unai Lopez: First Goalscorer

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