Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Total Volume

$1.12K

Events

Markets

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Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Vol

$1.12K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.12K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.12K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(15)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	76%
Will Riz Ahmed be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	71%
Will Christopher Abbott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	71%
Will Jamie Bell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	60%
Will Sam Worthington be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Patrick Wilson be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Paul Anthony Kelly be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Michael Sheen be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Leo Woodall be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will James Nesbitt be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will John Krasinski be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Jon Bernthal be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Javier Bardem be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will David Tennant be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%
Will Avan Jogia be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?	Kalshi	36%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

76%

Top Probability

$1.12K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television | 32 If X is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names ar

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television | 32

If X is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. All trademarks, logos, and brand names ar

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Sam Worthington is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026.

Kalshi is "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Sam Worthington be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Riz Ahmed be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Patrick Wilson be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Paul Anthony Kelly be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 75.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Michael Sheen be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Leo Woodall be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will James Nesbitt be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will John Krasinski be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Jon Bernthal be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Jamie Bell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $1.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 59.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 40.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Javier Bardem be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will David Tennant be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Christopher Abbott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 70.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 29.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Avan Jogia be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 3, 2028): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Volume$1.12K

Markets15

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KALSHI

Will Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 75.5¢No 24.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Oscar Isaac is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not

KALSHI

Will Riz Ahmed be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Riz Ahmed be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Riz Ahmed is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not af

KALSHI

Will Christopher Abbott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 70.5¢No 29.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Christopher Abbott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Christopher Abbott is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi

KALSHI

Will Jamie Bell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 59.5¢No 40.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jamie Bell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Jamie Bell is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is not a

KALSHI

Will Sam Worthington be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 35.5¢No 64.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Sam Worthington be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

If Sam Worthington is on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Nominees for the 32nd Critics Choice Awards are expected to be announced on December 4, 2026. Kalshi is

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44¢

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Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Markets (15)

Will Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Riz Ahmed be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Riz Ahmed be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Christopher Abbott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Christopher Abbott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Jamie Bell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Jamie Bell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Sam Worthington be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Sam Worthington be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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Will Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Critics Choice Award Nominations: Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television

Will Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Oscar Isaac be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Riz Ahmed be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Riz Ahmed be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Christopher Abbott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Christopher Abbott be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Jamie Bell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Jamie Bell be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Sam Worthington be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

Will Sam Worthington be on the list of nominees for Best Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Made for Television at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards?

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