Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Miami Opening Game Starters

Total Volume

$8.40K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Miami Opening Game Starters

Vol

$8.40K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $8.40K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $8.40K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Andrew Wiggins start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Andrew Wiggins start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	91%
Will Davion Mitchell start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	88%
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	85%
Will Nikola Jovic start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	50%
Will Bam Adebayo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	50%
Will Pelle Larsson start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	37%
Will Ryan Conwell start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	25%
Will Simone Fontecchio start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	14%
Will Tim Hardaway Jr. start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	10%
Will Bobby Portis start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?	Kalshi	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

91%

Top Probability

$8.40K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Miami (2026-27) If X starts the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. In order for the market to resolve X must start the first regular season game for Miami and be on the floor at the time of the opening tip-off. Y is announced as a starter for the first regular season game for Miami but doesn't actually start the game due to injury or any other reason, the market resolves to No. Resolution is b

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Miami Opening Game Starters
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Miami (2026-27)

If X starts the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. In order for the market to resolve X must start the first regular season game for Miami and be on the floor at the time of the opening tip-off. Y is announced as a starter for the first regular season game for Miami but doesn't actually start the game due to injury or any other reason, the market resolves to No. Resolution is b

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tim Hardaway Jr. starts the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, Tim Hardaway Jr. must start the first regular season game for Miami and be"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $8.4K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Tim Hardaway Jr. start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $4.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Simone Fontecchio start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $1
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Ryan Conwell start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 25.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Pelle Larsson start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $1.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Nikola Jovic start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Giannis Antetokounmpo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 85.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Davion Mitchell start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $212
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Bobby Portis start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Bam Adebayo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Andrew Wiggins start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 7, 2026): Vol $210
  DATA: [Yes: 91.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Miami Opening Game Starters

Volume$8.40K

Markets10

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KALSHI

Will Andrew Wiggins start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 91.0¢No 9.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Andrew Wiggins start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

If Andrew Wiggins starts the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, Andrew Wiggins must start the first regular season game for Miami and be on

KALSHI

Will Davion Mitchell start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHISports

Will Davion Mitchell start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

If Davion Mitchell starts the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, Davion Mitchell must start the first regular season game for Miami and be o

KALSHI

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 85.0¢No 15.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

If Giannis Antetokounmpo starts the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, Giannis Antetokounmpo must start the first regular season game for Mi

KALSHI

Will Nikola Jovic start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Nikola Jovic start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

If Nikola Jovic starts the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, Nikola Jovic must start the first regular season game for Miami and be on the

KALSHI

Will Bam Adebayo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHISports

Will Bam Adebayo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

If Bam Adebayo starts the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 Pro Basketball regular season, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: In order for the market to resolve Yes, Bam Adebayo must start the first regular season game for Miami and be on the fl

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46¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/_HXiR-" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Miami Opening Game Starters"></iframe>

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Will Andrew Wiggins start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Miami Opening Game Starters

Markets (10)

Will Andrew Wiggins start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Andrew Wiggins start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Davion Mitchell start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Davion Mitchell start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Nikola Jovic start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Nikola Jovic start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Bam Adebayo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Bam Adebayo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

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Will Andrew Wiggins start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Miami Opening Game Starters

Will Andrew Wiggins start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Andrew Wiggins start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Davion Mitchell start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Davion Mitchell start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Nikola Jovic start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Nikola Jovic start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Bam Adebayo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

Will Bam Adebayo start the game for the Miami Pro Basketball team in their first game of the 2026-27 regular season?

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