Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | PredictPedia

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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETTech

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Name: Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
End: 2025-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$19.26K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $19.26K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $19.26K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?	Poly	80%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

80%

Top Probability

$19.26K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machin

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, January 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
**Category:** Tech | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 31, 2025 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machin

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: https://store.steampowered.com/sale/steammachine)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release. In order to be considered released, t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $19.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.8K
* **Activity Level:** High Turnover (Vol/Liq Ratio: 10.83)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 31, 2025): Vol $19.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 80.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 20.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

80¢

Polymarket

Arbitrage Opps

Cross-Platform

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/_M1HFJ" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?"></iframe>

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Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

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Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)