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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Name: Eurovision 2026: Top 3
End: 2026-05-16T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$110.24K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Eurovision 2026: Top 3

Vol

$110.24K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $110.24K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $110.24K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

35 markets tracked

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(35)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	68%
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	51%
Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	41%
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	34%
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	31%
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	30%
Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	17%
Will Sweden be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	17%
Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	11%
Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	10%
Will Czechia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	9%
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	6%
Will Luxembourg be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	6%
Will Latvia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	6%
Will Montenegro be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	6%
Will Malta be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Serbia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will United Kingdom be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Switzerland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Armenia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Croatia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	5%
Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	4%
Will San Marino be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Estonia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Albania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Belgium be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	4%
Will Azerbaijan be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Portugal be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	3%
Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

68%

Top Probability

$110.24K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Thursday, August 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Eurovision 2026: Top 3
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 16, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 3 highest scoring candidates.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 3 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), t"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $110.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $265.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.42)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Czechia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $274
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $7.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Lithuania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $437
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Malta be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Portugal be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $443
  DATA: [Yes: 2.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Romania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $3.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Ukraine be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $2.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Azerbaijan be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $951
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $21.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $4.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Latvia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $315
  DATA: [Yes: 5.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.4% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Switzerland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $153
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.9% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Cyprus be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $448
  DATA: [Yes: 5.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.8% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $26.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 68.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 32.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Georgia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $15.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $405
  DATA: [Yes: 4.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Serbia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $175
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Sweden be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $873
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Armenia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $544
  DATA: [Yes: 4.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.3% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Albania be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $265
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $402
  DATA: [Yes: 2.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.9% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Belgium be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $406
  DATA: [Yes: 3.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.1% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $212
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Croatia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $145
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $8.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will Estonia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $83
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.8% (0.0%)]

### 28. Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Will Italy be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Will Luxembourg be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $44
  DATA: [Yes: 5.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 31. Will Moldova be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $842
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Will Montenegro be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $467
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Will Norway be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $1.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.7% (0.0%)]

### 34. Will San Marino be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $457
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 35. Will United Kingdom be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $117
  DATA: [Yes: 5.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.6% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture