Market snapshot: Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHISports

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

Total Volume

$22.87K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

Vol

$22.87K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $22.87K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $22.87K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Logan Henderson: 1+ earned runs?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Logan Henderson: 1+ earned runs?	Kalshi	100%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 3+ earned runs?	Kalshi	100%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 2+ earned runs?	Kalshi	100%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 1+ earned runs?	Kalshi	100%
Logan Henderson: 2+ earned runs?	Kalshi	99%
Logan Henderson: 3+ earned runs?	Kalshi	13%
Logan Henderson: 4+ earned runs?	Kalshi	2%
Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 4+ earned runs?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$22.87K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

LAD vs MIL (Oct 12) If Logan Henderson records X earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Logan Henderson is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Logan Henderson is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appear

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Tuesday, October 13, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** LAD vs MIL (Oct 12)

If Logan Henderson records X earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Logan Henderson is scratched or is not a starting pitcher, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Logan Henderson is not a starting pitcher but later enters the game, the market will resolve to the fair market price, relief appear

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Logan Henderson records 4+ earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Logan Henderson is scratched or is not a starti"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $22.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Logan Henderson: 4+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Logan Henderson: 3+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $9.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 13.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Logan Henderson: 2+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Logan Henderson: 1+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $399
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 4+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $560
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 3+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $121
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 2+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $5.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 1+ earned runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 15, 2026): Vol $407
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHISports

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

Volume$22.87K

Markets8

8 of 8

Sort:

KALSHI

Logan Henderson: 1+ earned runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Logan Henderson: 1+ earned runs?

If Logan Henderson records 1+ earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Logan Henderson is scratched or is not a starti

KALSHI

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 3+ earned runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 3+ earned runs?

If Yoshinobu Yamamoto records 3+ earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Yoshinobu Yamamoto is scratched or is not a

KALSHI

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 2+ earned runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 2+ earned runs?

If Yoshinobu Yamamoto records 2+ earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Yoshinobu Yamamoto is scratched or is not a

KALSHI

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 1+ earned runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 1+ earned runs?

If Yoshinobu Yamamoto records 1+ earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Yoshinobu Yamamoto is scratched or is not a

KALSHI

Logan Henderson: 2+ earned runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Logan Henderson: 2+ earned runs?

If Logan Henderson records 2+ earned runs in the Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Logan Henderson is scratched or is not a starti

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64¢

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Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

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Logan Henderson: 1+ earned runs?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

Markets (8)

Logan Henderson: 1+ earned runs?

Logan Henderson: 1+ earned runs?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 3+ earned runs?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 3+ earned runs?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 2+ earned runs?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 2+ earned runs?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 1+ earned runs?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 1+ earned runs?

Logan Henderson: 2+ earned runs?

Logan Henderson: 2+ earned runs?

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Logan Henderson: 1+ earned runs?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Los Angeles D vs Milwaukee: Earned Runs

Logan Henderson: 1+ earned runs?

Logan Henderson: 1+ earned runs?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 3+ earned runs?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 3+ earned runs?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 2+ earned runs?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 2+ earned runs?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 1+ earned runs?

Yoshinobu Yamamoto: 1+ earned runs?

Logan Henderson: 2+ earned runs?

Logan Henderson: 2+ earned runs?

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