Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Name: UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
End: 2026-10-25T03:59:59.999Z

Total Volume

$4.20K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Vol

$4.20K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $4.20K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $4.20K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

27 markets tracked

Fight to Go the Distance?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(27)

Market	Platform	Price
Fight to Go the Distance?	Poly	51%
Over/Under 1.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Over/Under 2.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Over/Under 3.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Over/Under 4.5 Rounds	Poly	51%
Will the fight be won by decision?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 4?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end before Round 5?	Poly	51%
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 1?	Poly	51%
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 4?	Poly	51%
Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 5?	Poly	51%
Will Petr Yan win in Round 1?	Poly	51%
Will Petr Yan win in Round 2?	Poly	51%
Will Petr Yan win in Round 3?	Poly	51%
Will Petr Yan win in Round 4?	Poly	51%
Will Petr Yan win in Round 5?	Poly	51%
Will the fight end in a decision or draw?	Poly	51%
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Merab Dvalishvili win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will Petr Yan win by KO or TKO?	Poly	50%
Will the fight be won by submission?	Poly	50%
Over/Under 0.5 Rounds	Poly	50%
UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Poly	39%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$4.20K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Petr Yan" if Petr Yan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Oct 25, 2026 (14 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Medium

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.

It will resolve to "Petr Yan" if Petr Yan is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."

The resolution source for this market will be official

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Merab Dvalishvili" if Merab Dvalishvili is officially declared the winner of the fight against Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026.

It will resolve to "Petr Yan" if Petr Yan is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is decl"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $4.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.2K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.51)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $4.2K
  DATA: [Merab Dvalishvili: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [Petr Yan: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Fight to Go the Distance?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Merab Dvalishvili win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Petr Yan win by KO or TKO?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the fight be won by submission?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Over/Under 0.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Over/Under 1.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Over/Under 2.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Over/Under 3.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Over/Under 4.5 Rounds
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the fight be won by decision?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the fight end before Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the fight end before Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the fight end before Round 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the fight end before Round 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Merab Dvalishvili win in Round 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Petr Yan win in Round 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Petr Yan win in Round 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Will Petr Yan win in Round 3?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Will Petr Yan win in Round 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 26. Will Petr Yan win in Round 5?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Will the fight end in a decision or draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: Oct 25, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Volume$4.20K

Markets27

27 of 27

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Fight to Go the Distance?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Fight to Go the Distance?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Merab Dvalishvili and Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decide

POLYMARKET

Will the fight be won by decision?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight be won by decision?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Merab Dvalishvili and Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, is won by decision, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a dra

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 2?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight end before Round 2?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Merab Dvalishvili and Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, officially ends before Round 2 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, coun

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 3?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight end before Round 3?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Merab Dvalishvili and Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, officially ends before Round 3 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, coun

POLYMARKET

Will the fight end before Round 4?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the fight end before Round 4?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Merab Dvalishvili and Petr Yan at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, officially ends before Round 4 begins. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." A stoppage between rounds, including a doctor or corner stoppage, coun

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Calculating time remaining…

Oct 25, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC

Market Insights

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50¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/_UGBAA" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)"></iframe>

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UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Fight to Go the Distance?

AI Analysis

About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Markets (27)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 4?

Will the fight end before Round 4?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Fight to Go the Distance?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Fight to Go the Distance?

Fight to Go the Distance?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight be won by decision?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 2?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 3?

Will the fight end before Round 4?

Will the fight end before Round 4?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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