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| Market | Platform | Price |
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![]() | Poly | 98% |
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This event is for the WBB game between North Carolina State Wolfpack and Pittsburgh Panthers on March 1 at 1:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction markets currently give the North Carolina State Wolfpack about a 60% chance to beat the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in their upcoming college basketball game. This means traders collectively see NC State as the clear favorite, with roughly a 3 in 5 probability of winning. The market expresses a moderate level of confidence in this outcome, but it is far from a sure thing.
The odds reflect the teams' recent performance and their positions within the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC). NC State has been more competitive in conference play. Entering this matchup, the Wolfpack have shown they can score effectively and have secured wins against tougher opponents than Notre Dame has this season.
Notre Dame is having a difficult year. They are near the bottom of the ACC standings and have struggled to find consistent offense. Their record against teams with winning conferences records is poor, which makes an away game against a middle-tier ACC team like NC State a major challenge. Historical data in these markets also tends to favor the home team when there is a clear gap in conference standing, which is the case here.
The main event is the game itself, scheduled for February 28 at 12:00 PM ET. Watch for any last-minute player injury announcements or illness reports from either team leading up to tip-off, as these can shift probabilities quickly. Once the game begins, the market will update in real-time based on the score and flow of play, but the final outcome will be known by that afternoon.
For major college basketball games, prediction markets are generally a good aggregator of collective wisdom. They often align closely with betting odds and efficiently incorporate public information like team records, injuries, and location. However, their accuracy is not perfect. Upsets happen regularly in sports, and a single player having an exceptional or exceptionally poor performance can defy the probabilities. The moderate amount of money in this market suggests it incorporates available knowledge but remains susceptible to the inherent unpredictability of any single game.
Prediction markets on Polymarket price North Carolina State as a strong favorite to defeat Notre Dame. The "NC State to win" share trades at approximately 73 cents, implying a 73% probability of a Wolfpack victory. This price suggests the consensus expects NC State to win, but accounts for a significant chance of an Irish upset given the volatility of college basketball. The opposing "Notre Dame to win" share trades around 27 cents. With $149,000 in total volume, the market has sufficient liquidity to reflect informed betting sentiment rather than just speculative noise.
The pricing heavily favors NC State due to stark differences in team performance and conference standing. NC State entered this game with a 17-10 overall record and was positioned on the NCAA tournament bubble, needing a strong finish. Notre Dame, under first-year coach Micah Shrewsberry, struggled through a rebuilding season with a 10-17 record and sat near the bottom of the ACC. A key metric is efficiency margin. Entering the game, analytics site KenPom ranked NC State 76th nationally, while Notre Dame ranked 140th. The Wolfpack also possessed a more potent offense, averaging over 75 points per game compared to Notre Dame's 63, which was one of the lowest scoring outputs in major conference basketball.
For a live game market, the primary factor that changes odds is the in-game action itself. A slow start by NC State or hot shooting from Notre Dame would cause the "NC State to win" share price to drop rapidly. Notre Dame's path to an upset relied on controlling the game's tempo, as they played at one of the slowest paces in the country, and limiting turnovers to offset their offensive limitations. Conversely, if NC State established its preferred faster pace and forced Notre Dame into a high-possession game, their offensive firepower would likely overwhelm the Irish, solidifying their favorite status. Key injuries or foul trouble to either team's star players during the game would also cause immediate and severe price movements.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
$8.15K
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This prediction market focuses on the outcome of a women's college basketball game scheduled for March 1 at 1:00 PM Eastern Time. The game features the North Carolina State Wolfpack hosting the Pittsburgh Panthers in Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC) play. The market allows participants to wager on which team will win the contest. If the game is postponed, the market remains active until the game is completed. If the game is canceled without being rescheduled, the market resolves with a 50-50 split between the two outcomes. The matchup is part of the final stretch of the regular season, where conference standings and seeding for the ACC Tournament and NCAA Tournament are determined. Both teams have distinct profiles. North Carolina State has been a consistent national contender under coach Wes Moore, often ranked in the AP Top 25. Pittsburgh, under coach Lance White, has been in a rebuilding phase within the highly competitive ACC. The game's location at Reynolds Coliseum in Raleigh, North Carolina, provides a significant home-court advantage for the Wolfpack. Interest in this market stems from several factors. The game has implications for postseason positioning. North Carolina State typically aims to secure a high seed in the NCAA Tournament, while Pittsburgh looks to improve its conference record. The matchup also features a contrast in team strengths and individual talents, such as NC State's offensive efficiency versus Pittsburgh's defensive efforts. Bettors analyze team performance metrics, injury reports, and recent form to predict the outcome.
The series history between NC State and Pittsburgh in women's basketball is relatively brief, defined by NC State's dominance since Pittsburgh joined the ACC. Pittsburgh became an ACC member for the 2013-14 season. Since then, the Wolfpack have controlled the head-to-head matchup, winning the majority of games. For example, in the 2022-23 season, NC State defeated Pittsburgh twice, including a 68-48 victory at home. Historically, NC State's program has deeper roots in success. Under coaches like Kay Yow, who led the team from 1975 to 2009, and now Wes Moore, the Wolfpack have made 28 NCAA Tournament appearances. They reached the Final Four in 1998. The program has won eight ACC Tournament championships, with three of those coming in the last five years. Pittsburgh's women's basketball history is marked by periods of competitiveness, particularly in the old Big East Conference before its realignment. The Panthers made five NCAA Tournament appearances between 2006 and 2015 but have not returned since. The move to the ACC presented a greater competitive challenge. The program's last winning season in conference play was in 2014-15. This historical backdrop frames the current matchup as one between an established power and a program striving to climb the conference ladder. Past games often feature NC State's systematic execution against Pittsburgh's efforts to pull an upset, a dynamic that informs the prediction market's odds.
The outcome of this game matters for the trajectory of both programs this season. For NC State, a win helps solidify its position for a high seed in the NCAA Tournament, potentially hosting first- and second-round games at Reynolds Coliseum. This brings economic benefits to the local area from hosting tournament games and enhances national visibility for recruiting. A loss could damage its seeding and force a more difficult postseason path. For Pittsburgh, a victory against a ranked opponent like NC State would be a signature win for Coach Lance White's rebuilding project. It could boost team morale, attract positive attention, and aid in recruiting battles by demonstrating the program can compete with the ACC's best. Beyond the teams, the game affects the ACC standings. Conference win-loss records determine seeding for the ACC Tournament in Greensboro, North Carolina. Tournament performance directly influences NCAA Tournament selection and seeding. For fans and the prediction market, the game is a data point in assessing team strength, coaching strategies, and player development. It also contributes to the broader narrative of competitive balance, or lack thereof, within one of the nation's premier women's basketball conferences.
As of late February, both teams are preparing for the final games of the regular season. NC State is positioned near the top of the ACC standings, battling for a top-four seed and a double-bye in the upcoming conference tournament. They are coming off a mixed set of results against other ranked ACC opponents. Pittsburgh sits near the bottom of the standings but has shown occasional competitiveness, including some close losses to mid-tier conference teams. The specific injury status of key players for both teams will be monitored closely in the days leading up to the March 1 tip-off, as any absences could significantly shift the prediction market odds. Weather-related postponement is unlikely for an indoor game, but any unforeseen circumstances would activate the market's contingency rules.
The game will be played at Reynolds Coliseum on the campus of North Carolina State University in Raleigh, North Carolina. Tip-off is scheduled for 1:00 PM Eastern Time.
The game will be televised on a regional sports network, likely the ACC Network or one of its affiliated channels. Streaming will be available through the ESPN app or website with a valid cable subscription that includes the ACC Network.
Since Pittsburgh joined the ACC for the 2013-14 season, NC State holds a decisive advantage in the series. The Wolfpack have won 15 of the 18 meetings between the two programs.
Yes, but rarely. Pittsburgh has three recorded victories against NC State since joining the ACC. Their most recent win came during the 2020-21 season, a 65-59 victory at home on February 25, 2021.
According to the prediction market rules, if the game is postponed, the market will remain open for trading until the game is officially completed. The outcome will be determined by the final result of the rescheduled game.
Guard Aziaha James is the leading scorer for the NC State Wolfpack during the 2023-24 season. She averages over 15 points per game and is a primary offensive focus for the team.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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