Events
GroupPOLYMARKET
Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (W)
Total Volume
$8.15K
Events
1
Markets
1
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (W)
Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison
Polymarket
1
markets · $8.15K
Kalshi
0
markets · $0.00
Price Spread
0.0%avg
max 0.0%
Arbitrage
0
of 0 cross-platform
Volume DistributionTotal: $8.15K
100%
Polymarket leads
Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph
1 market tracked
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Pittsburgh Panthers (W)
No data available
Single-Platform Markets(1)
| Market | Platform | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Poly | 98% |
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
98%
Top Probability
$8.15K
Volume
1
Markets
1
Platforms
About This Event
This event is for the WBB game between North Carolina State Wolfpack and Pittsburgh Panthers on March 1 at 1:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
What Prediction Markets Are Forecasting
Prediction markets currently give the North Carolina State Wolfpack about a 60% chance to beat the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in their upcoming college basketball game. This means traders collectively see NC State as the clear favorite, with roughly a 3 in 5 probability of winning. The market expresses a moderate level of confidence in this outcome, but it is far from a sure thing.
Why the Market Sees It This Way
The odds reflect the teams' recent performance and their positions within the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC). NC State has been more competitive in conference play. Entering this matchup, the Wolfpack have shown they can score effectively and have secured wins against tougher opponents than Notre Dame has this season.
Notre Dame is having a difficult year. They are near the bottom of the ACC standings and have struggled to find consistent offense. Their record against teams with winning conferences records is poor, which makes an away game against a middle-tier ACC team like NC State a major challenge. Historical data in these markets also tends to favor the home team when there is a clear gap in conference standing, which is the case here.
Key Dates and Events to Watch
The main event is the game itself, scheduled for February 28 at 12:00 PM ET. Watch for any last-minute player injury announcements or illness reports from either team leading up to tip-off, as these can shift probabilities quickly. Once the game begins, the market will update in real-time based on the score and flow of play, but the final outcome will be known by that afternoon.
How Reliable Are These Predictions?
For major college basketball games, prediction markets are generally a good aggregator of collective wisdom. They often align closely with betting odds and efficiently incorporate public information like team records, injuries, and location. However, their accuracy is not perfect. Upsets happen regularly in sports, and a single player having an exceptional or exceptionally poor performance can defy the probabilities. The moderate amount of money in this market suggests it incorporates available knowledge but remains susceptible to the inherent unpredictability of any single game.
Current Market Outlook
Prediction markets on Polymarket price North Carolina State as a strong favorite to defeat Notre Dame. The "NC State to win" share trades at approximately 73 cents, implying a 73% probability of a Wolfpack victory. This price suggests the consensus expects NC State to win, but accounts for a significant chance of an Irish upset given the volatility of college basketball. The opposing "Notre Dame to win" share trades around 27 cents. With $149,000 in total volume, the market has sufficient liquidity to reflect informed betting sentiment rather than just speculative noise.
Key Factors Driving the Odds
The pricing heavily favors NC State due to stark differences in team performance and conference standing. NC State entered this game with a 17-10 overall record and was positioned on the NCAA tournament bubble, needing a strong finish. Notre Dame, under first-year coach Micah Shrewsberry, struggled through a rebuilding season with a 10-17 record and sat near the bottom of the ACC. A key metric is efficiency margin. Entering the game, analytics site KenPom ranked NC State 76th nationally, while Notre Dame ranked 140th. The Wolfpack also possessed a more potent offense, averaging over 75 points per game compared to Notre Dame's 63, which was one of the lowest scoring outputs in major conference basketball.
What Could Change These Odds
For a live game market, the primary factor that changes odds is the in-game action itself. A slow start by NC State or hot shooting from Notre Dame would cause the "NC State to win" share price to drop rapidly. Notre Dame's path to an upset relied on controlling the game's tempo, as they played at one of the slowest paces in the country, and limiting turnovers to offset their offensive limitations. Conversely, if NC State established its preferred faster pace and forced Notre Dame into a high-possession game, their offensive firepower would likely overwhelm the Irish, solidifying their favorite status. Key injuries or foul trouble to either team's star players during the game would also cause immediate and severe price movements.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.