Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

US gasoline CPI for September

Total Volume

$7.33K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US gasoline CPI for September

Vol

$7.33K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $7.33K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $7.33K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 365?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 365?	Kalshi	99%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 360?	Kalshi	99%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 345?	Kalshi	99%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 355?	Kalshi	99%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 350?	Kalshi	99%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 370?	Kalshi	97%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 371?	Kalshi	96%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 372?	Kalshi	94%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 373?	Kalshi	91%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 374?	Kalshi	86%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 375?	Kalshi	81%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 376?	Kalshi	67%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 377?	Kalshi	23%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 378?	Kalshi	13%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 379?	Kalshi	8%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 380?	Kalshi	4%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 384?	Kalshi	4%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 383?	Kalshi	3%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 381?	Kalshi	3%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 382?	Kalshi	3%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 385?	Kalshi	3%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 390?	Kalshi	2%
Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 395?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

99%

Top Probability

$7.33K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

September 2026 If the Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** US gasoline CPI for September
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** September 2026

If the Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline, All Types, in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is seasonally adjusted. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 384, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $7.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 384?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 383?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 382?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $439
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 381?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $123
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 379?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $510
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 378?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $2.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 377?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $666
  DATA: [Yes: 22.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 77.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 376?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $611
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 374?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $45
  DATA: [Yes: 85.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 14.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 373?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 90.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 9.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 372?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $157
  DATA: [Yes: 94.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 6.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 371?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 96.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 395?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 390?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 385?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 380?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $213
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 375?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $405
  DATA: [Yes: 81.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 370?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 365?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $200
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 360?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 355?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 350?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 98.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.5% (0.0%)]

### 23. Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 345?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 21, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

US gasoline CPI for September

Volume$7.33K

Markets23

23 of 23

Sort:

KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 365?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 365?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 365, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is

KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 360?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 360?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 360, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is

KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 345?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.0¢No 1.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 345?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 345, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is

KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 355?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 355?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 355, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is

KALSHI

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 350?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 98.5¢No 1.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 350?

If the Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 is above 350, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses FRED series CUSR0000SETB01: Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average, which is published monthly and is

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/_XKJ_u" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="US gasoline CPI for September"></iframe>

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US gasoline CPI for September

US gasoline CPI for September

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Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 365?

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About This Event

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Educational Context

Events (1)

US gasoline CPI for September

Markets (23)

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 365?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 365?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 360?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 360?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 345?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 345?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 355?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 355?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 350?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 350?

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Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 365?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

US gasoline CPI for September

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 365?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 365?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 360?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 360?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 345?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 345?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 355?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 355?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 350?

Will Gasoline (All Types) in U.S. City Average for September 2026 be above 350?

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Discussion

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