Next Regional Board Chair of Örebro?
PM $30.7K
1
8
Next Regional Board Chair of Örebro?
PM $30.7K
1
8
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Jenny Steen at 15.7%.
Polymarket
- Jenny Steen15.7%
- Sebastian Cehlin5%
- Behcet Barsom3.4%
- Markus Allard2.6%
- Charlotta Englund<0.1%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $30.7K
Reported volume · provider units
8
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Örebro, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Örebro County following the 2026 Swedish regional elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board. Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Sweden and Region Örebro County; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Polymarket event asks who will be the next Chair of the Regional Board of Region Örebro County. According to the rules, the market "will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Örebro County following the 2026 Swedish regional elections" [1]. To count, the person "must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board," and "Any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of this market" [1].
The rules also set a fallback. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market "will resolve to 'Other'" [1]. The rules name the 2026 regional elections as scheduled for September 13, 2026 [1]. That is a rule description, not confirmation that the election or any appointment has occurred.
Reading the snapshot
The saved data covers eight single-candidate Yes/No markets from one provider event, all included with no partial sample flag [1]. The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T00:00:06Z and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-16T02:44:18Z, so these are historical snapshots, not live quotes. The listed end time for every market is 2026-09-14T03:59:00Z, which is earlier than the observation time, even though the status is recorded as active. The source does not explain this difference, so it should be checked against the provider before relying on the status.
Yes prices in the snapshot were: Jenny Steen 0.7635, Behcet Barsom 0.088, Sebastian Cehlin 0.044, Markus Allard 0.0375, and four candidates at 0.0005 each (Charlotta Englund, Johan Stolpen, Willhelm Sundman, Elin Jensen). The Yes prices sum to about 0.935. The remaining share is not assigned to any listed market in this sample, and the sample does not show it. Prices are indicative snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
What remains uncertain
The source warns that "This does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. An "Other" outcome exists in the rules but is not among the saved markets, so no conclusion about its price is supported. Volume and trader counts are not in this record, so the snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each view.
Because the record contains only one provider and one event, it should not be compared with other platforms' contracts without checking the wording, resolution rules, and listed close times. The evidence does not explain any price movement, and it does not show any election or appointment outcome.
References
- Polymarket: Next Regional Board Chair of Örebro?. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia contract asks who will be the next Chair of the Regional Board of Region Örebro County in Sweden. The provider's rules state that Regional elections to elect the Regional Council of Örebro, Sweden are scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026 [1]. The market resolves to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board after those elections [1]. The rules set a specific test for the outcome. The individual must be formally elected by the relevant regional council as Chair of the Regional Board, and any interim or caretaker Chair does not count toward resolution [1]. The rules also set a fallback. If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1]. The provider lists an end time of 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z for the event. That listed end time is a contract closing time from the provider's data, not a statement that any appointment will occur on that date. The primary resolution source is official information from the government of Sweden and Region Örebro County. The rules also allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used [1]. Because the rules name official government and regional sources first, a reader should check those sources, rather than a single news item, when assessing how the contract will settle. The saved provider event contains eight separate Yes or No markets, one for each named candidate, and all eight are included in the sample. The sample does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome, and the rules' "Other" outcome does not appear as a priced market in this sample.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single institutional result: which individual is formally elected by the regional council as Chair of the Regional Board after the 2026 regional elections [1]. Its wording separates formal election from informal arrangements, since an interim or caretaker Chair does not count [1]. This makes the contract about the formal office and not about who is most visible in the period before the vote. Its resolution sources are official government and regional information, with credible reporting as a secondary option [1]. The contract's value for a reader is therefore in understanding the exact conditions for settlement, not in reading a price as a forecast.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract resolve to?
It resolves to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chair of the Regional Board of Region Örebro County following the 2026 Swedish regional elections [1].
Does an interim or caretaker Chair count?
No. The rules state that any interim or caretaker Chair will not count toward the resolution of the market [1].
What happens if no Chair takes office by the deadline?
If no such Chair takes office by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "Other" [1].
Which sources determine the outcome?
The primary resolution source is official information from the government of Sweden and Region Örebro County. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Who will be the next DNC Chair?
K 4.4K contracts
Next DCCC chair?
K 43.6K contracts
Who will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?
K 5.4K contracts
Balearic Islands regional election winner?
K 822 contracts
Canary Islands regional election winner?
K 0 contracts
Madrid regional election: 2nd place
K 0 contractsMarket Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
