Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?

Total Volume

$0.00

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Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?

Vol

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

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Price Spread

0.0%avg

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Arbitrage

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1 market tracked

Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?	Kalshi	39%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

39%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

TWC reporting day dated September 3, 2027 If total precipitation at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG) for The Weather Company reporting day dated September 3, 2027 (06:00 UTC that date to 06:00 UTC the following date) is strictly greater than 0 millimeters, then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses The Weather Company's daily precipitation value for Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG), labeled September 3, 2027, in millimeters. The source's reporting day runs from 06:00 UTC on t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** TWC reporting day dated September 3, 2027

If total precipitation at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG) for The Weather Company reporting day dated September 3, 2027 (06:00 UTC that date to 06:00 UTC the following date) is strictly greater than 0 millimeters, then the market resolves to Yes. This market uses The Weather Company's daily precipitation value for Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG), labeled September 3, 2027, in millimeters. The source's reporting day runs from 06:00 UTC on t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If total precipitation at Paris Charles de Gaulle Airport (LFPG) for The Weather Company reporting day dated September 3, 2027 (06:00 UTC that date to 06:00 UTC the following date) is strictly greater than 0 millimeters, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market uses The Weather "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Rain in Paris on Sep 3, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 10, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

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## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather