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Events
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Will the next elected US president be a woman?

Will the next elected US president be a woman?
Vol

PM $16.0K

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Current odds

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As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 19% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes19%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $16.0K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election is a woman. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution sources for this market will be the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics
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30 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 7, 2028 UTC
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Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 5, 2026 UTC
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How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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