
$130.99K
1
22

$130.99K
1
22
Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between April 13, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a
The Polymarket contract "Will Trump say 'Waste' this week? (March 1)" is trading at 100 cents, or a 100% probability. This price indicates the market has definitively resolved in favor of "Yes." With $4.2 million in volume, this is a highly liquid and decisive market outcome. The resolution period has passed, meaning traders are awaiting final settlement based on verified events from the stated date range of February 23 to March 1, 2026.
The 100% price reflects near-certainty that Donald Trump used the specific term "waste" in a public statement during the tracking week. This certainty is likely driven by verifiable evidence, such as a confirmed speech, interview, or social media post. The term "waste" is a frequent component of Trump's political rhetoric, often employed to criticize government spending, foreign aid, or investigative resources. For example, he has historically labeled the Mueller investigation and impeachment inquiries as "witch hunts" and a "total waste of time and money." A 2025 analysis by the Brookings Institution noted his continued use of this framing for federal agencies and legal proceedings against him. The market's extreme confidence suggests a clear, unambiguous public utterance was identified.
At a 100% price, the odds cannot change. The market is effectively closed for trading and awaits administrative resolution. The only remaining variable is the off-chain event verification by Polymarket's resolution source. A discrepancy between market consensus and the resolver's data is the sole risk, but it is minimal given the price and volume. This scenario would require the resolution source to contradict overwhelming public evidence that Trump said "waste," which would be highly unusual and contentious. For all practical purposes, this market is considered settled.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.
22 markets tracked

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| Market | Platform | Price |
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![]() | Poly | 100% |
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